CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Dario Bellandi vs Renato Valente

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePalapellicone

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Dario BellandiNeanderthal |9-2-0Dario Bellandi vs Renato ValenteRenato ValenteIndio |12-8-0

Dario BellandiNeanderthal9-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

9-2-0Record12-8-0

TBDAge34

6'3"Height6'1"

TBDReachTBD

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Renato ValenteIndio12-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Dario Bellandi owns a 33-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Dario Bellandi and Renato Valente across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Dario BellandiRenato Valente

Recent form

Dario BellandiL W W W W · +35 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Renato ValenteW L W L W · +32 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Dario Bellandi1620-30 last move

Renato Valente1587+19 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

47%Dario Bellandi53%Renato Valente

Model favoriteRenato Valente

Elo baseline45% for Renato Valente

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Renato ValenteStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Renato Valente is 53%, after Elo alone favored Dario Bellandi at 55%.

Current Elo ratings1620 · 1587Dario Bellandi leads by 33 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1528 · 1603Renato Valente faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth10 · 19 fightsRenato Valente has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Dario BellandivsRenato Valente

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Dario Bellandidecision leads 44% of wins

Renato ValenteKO/TKO leads 33% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Dario BellandiRenato Valente

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.69

3Wins by knockout4

2Wins by submission4

4Wins by decision4

1Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision6

Dario Bellandi vs Renato Valente is a scheduled Middleweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Dario Bellandi enters with a 9-2-0 record and Renato Valente enters with a 12-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.