Josh O'Connor vs Fabacary Diatta

DateSep 25, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAdidas Arena

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, September 25, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 3:00 AM
Your time

Josh O'Connor10-0-0Josh O'Connor vs Fabacary DiattaFabacary Diatta10-1-0

Josh O'Connor10-0-0

Fight Overview

Round5

Time5:00

10-0-0Record10-1-0

27Age29

5'6"Height5'9"

70"Reach70.5"

144 lbsWeight144 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Fabacary Diatta10-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Josh O'Connor owns a 59-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Josh O'Connor and Fabacary Diatta across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Josh O'ConnorFabacary Diatta

Recent form

Josh O'ConnorW W W W W · +93 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Fabacary DiattaW W L W W · +26 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Josh O'Connor1710+30 last move

Fabacary Diatta1651+11 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

67%Josh O'Connor33%Fabacary Diatta

Model favoriteJosh O'Connor

Elo baseline58% for Josh O'Connor

Matchup adjustment+9 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Josh O'ConnorStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Josh O'Connor leads the full model at 67%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 8 points.

Current Elo ratings1710 · 1651Josh O'Connor leads by 59 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1507 · 1493Josh O'Connor faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth10 · 11 fightsFabacary Diatta has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Josh O'ConnorvsFabacary Diatta

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Josh O'ConnorKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Fabacary Diattadecision leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

Ghassen JbaliaJosh O'Connor: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Dec 13, 2025Fabacary Diatta: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 3, 2026

Tale of the tape

Josh O'ConnorFabacary Diatta

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.97

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 47%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.56

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.62

5Wins by knockout2

3Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision7

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Josh O'Connor vs Fabacary Diatta is a scheduled Featherweight fight on ARES FC 43 : O'CONNOR VS DIATTA. Josh O'Connor enters with a 10-0-0 record and Fabacary Diatta enters with a 10-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.