Lyoto Machida vs Luke Rockhold

Apr 18, 2015 · ESPN+

DateApr 18, 2015

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePrudential Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 18, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 11:30 AM
US West (PT): Sat 8:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 4:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 5:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:30 AM
Your time

Lyoto MachidaThe Dragon |26-12-0Lyoto Machida vs Luke RockholdLuke Rockhold16-6-0

Lyoto MachidaThe Dragon26-12-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

26-12-0Record16-6-0

48Age41

6'1"Height6'3"

74"Reach77"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Luke Rockhold16-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Luke Rockhold owns a 59-point Elo edge (good). Lyoto Machida shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Lyoto Machida and Luke Rockhold across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Lyoto MachidaLuke Rockhold

Recent form

Lyoto MachidaL L L L W · -29 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Luke RockholdL L L W L · -66 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Elo edge

Lyoto Machida1683-16 last move

Luke Rockhold1742-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Lyoto MachidaNot on the active ladder · 1683 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Vitor Belfort (rated 1735 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Fabian Edwards (rated 1651 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -29 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1593, not 1683: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Luke RockholdNot on the active ladder · 1742 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat David Branch (rated 1821 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Michael Bisping (rated 1742 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -66 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1652, not 1742: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Lyoto MachidaNow 1683

Wins by decision+14→ 1697

Loses by decision-10→ 1673

Luke RockholdNow 1742

Wins by decision+13→ 1755

Loses by decision-19→ 1723

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Lyoto MachidavsLuke Rockhold

Takedown accuracy

65%vs21%

Submission average

0.40vs1.01

Takedown average

1.21vs0.70

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

1.57vs2.68

Finishing profile

Lyoto Machidadecision leads 50% of wins

Luke Rockholdsubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Chris Weidman Lyoto Machida: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 5, 2014Luke Rockhold: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 3, 2018

Yoel Romero Lyoto Machida: loss · Elbows · Jun 27, 2015 Luke Rockhold: loss · KO (punches) · Feb 10, 2018

Chris Weidman Lyoto Machida: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 5, 2014 Luke Rockhold: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 4, 2016

Tale of the tape

Lyoto MachidaLuke Rockhold

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.59Sig. strikes landed per min4.10

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

53Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC middleweight average : 48%

1.57Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.68

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

62Sig. strike defense54

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.21Takedown average0.70

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

65Takedown accuracy21

UFC middleweight average : 30%

76Takedown defense65

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.40Submission average1.01

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

11Wins by knockout6

2Wins by submission8

13Wins by decision2

4Losses by knockout5

2Losses by submission0

6Losses by decision1

Lyoto Machida vs Luke Rockhold is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD. Lyoto Machida enters with a 26-12-0 record and Luke Rockhold enters with a 16-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.