Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain Sterling

Apr 18, 2015 · ESPN+

DateApr 18, 2015

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePrudential Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 18, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 11:30 AM
US West (PT): Sat 8:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 4:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 5:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:30 AM
Your time

Takeya Mizugaki23-14-2Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain SterlingAljamain SterlingFunk Master |26-5-0

Takeya Mizugaki23-14-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

23-14-2Record26-5-0

42Age37

5'7"Height5'7"

68,0"Reach71"

135 lbsWeight145 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Aljamain SterlingFunk Master26-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Aljamain Sterling owns a 235-point Elo edge (elite). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Takeya Mizugaki and Aljamain Sterling across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Takeya MizugakiAljamain Sterling

Recent form

Takeya MizugakiL W W L L · -19 Elo last 5

LWWLL

Aljamain SterlingW W L W L · -6 Elo last 5

WWLWL

Elo edge

Takeya Mizugaki1621-17 last move

Aljamain Sterling1856+9 last move

Why they are ranked here

Takeya MizugakiNot on the active ladder · 1621 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Pietro Menga (rated 1663 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Manel Kape (rated 1566 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -19 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1531, not 1621: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Aljamain Sterling#3 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1856 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat T.J. Dillashaw (rated 1772 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Sean O'Malley (rated 1783 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -6 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #2 Movsar Evloev, 13 ahead of #4 Movlid Khaybulaev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Takeya MizugakiNow 1621

Wins by decision+19→ 1640

Loses by decision-5→ 1616

Aljamain SterlingNow 1856 · #3 Featherweight

Wins by decision+5→ 1861

Loses by decision-19→ 1837

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Takeya MizugakivsAljamain Sterling

Submission average

0.06vs0.64

Takedown accuracy

58%vs31%

Takedown average

1.46vs2.45

Takedown defense

70%vs45%

Finishing profile

Takeya Mizugakidecision leads 74% of wins

Aljamain Sterlingdecision leads 54% of wins

Common opponents

T.J. DillashawTakeya Mizugaki: cancelled · May 24, 2014Aljamain Sterling: win · TKO (punches) · Oct 22, 2022

T.J. DillashawTakeya Mizugaki: cancelled · May 24, 2014Aljamain Sterling: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 10, 2022

Rani YahyaTakeya Mizugaki: win · Decision · Apr 24, 2010Aljamain Sterling: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Dec 9, 2017

Tale of the tape

Takeya MizugakiAljamain Sterling

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.37Sig. strikes landed per min4.45

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

37Sig. strike accuracy53

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

3.27Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.21

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

58Sig. strike defense60

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

1.46Takedown average2.45

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

58Takedown accuracy31

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

70Takedown defense45

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.06Submission average0.64

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

5Wins by knockout3

1Wins by submission8

17Wins by decision14

6Losses by knockout2

2Losses by submission0

6Losses by decision3

Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain Sterling is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD. Takeya Mizugaki enters with a 23-14-2 record and Aljamain Sterling enters with a 26-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.