Felice Herrig vs Paige VanZant

Apr 18, 2015 · ESPN+

DateApr 18, 2015

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePrudential Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 18, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 11:30 AM
US West (PT): Sat 8:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 4:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 5:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:30 AM
Your time

Felice HerrigLil Bulldog |14-10-0Felice Herrig vs Paige VanZantPaige VanZant12 Gauge |8-5-0

Felice HerrigLil Bulldog14-10-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-10-0Record8-5-0

42Age32

5'4"Height5'4"

65"Reach65"

115 lbsWeight125 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Paige VanZant12 Gauge8-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Paige VanZant owns a 18-point Elo edge (solid). Paige VanZant shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Felice Herrig and Paige VanZant across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Felice HerrigPaige VanZant

Recent form

Felice HerrigL L L L W · -44 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Paige VanZantL W L L W · -18 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Elo edge

Felice Herrig1556-17 last move

Paige VanZant1574-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Felice HerrigNot on the active ladder · 1556 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lisa Ellis (rated 1588 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Karolina Kowalkiewicz (rated 1615 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -44 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1466, not 1556: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Paige VanZantNot on the active ladder · 1574 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kailin Curran (rated 1566 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Rose Namajunas (rated 1531 at the time): -30.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -18 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1484, not 1574: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Felice HerrigNow 1556

Wins by decision+17→ 1573

Loses by decision-15→ 1541

Paige VanZantNow 1574

Wins by decision+15→ 1589

Loses by decision-17→ 1557

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Felice HerrigvsPaige VanZant

Takedown defense

75%vs34%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.19vs2.62

Sig. strike accuracy

38%vs52%

Submission average

0.81vs0.96

Finishing profile

Felice Herrigdecision leads 64% of wins

Paige VanZantsubmission leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

Michelle Waterson-Gomez Felice Herrig: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 6, 2018Paige VanZant: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Dec 17, 2016

Kailin CurranFelice Herrig: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jul 23, 2016Paige VanZant: win · Punches · Nov 22, 2014

Kailin CurranFelice Herrig: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jul 23, 2016Paige VanZant: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 4, 2014

Tale of the tape

Felice HerrigPaige VanZant

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.84Sig. strikes landed per min3.35

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

38Sig. strike accuracy52

UFC strawweight average : 45%

5.19Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.62

UFC strawweight average : 4.11

48Sig. strike defense43

UFC strawweight average : 54%

1.08Takedown average1.27

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

29Takedown accuracy33

UFC strawweight average : 32%

75Takedown defense34

UFC strawweight average : 59%

0.81Submission average0.96

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

1Wins by knockout2

4Wins by submission3

9Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission3

8Losses by decision2

Felice Herrig vs Paige VanZant is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD. Felice Herrig enters with a 14-10-0 record and Paige VanZant enters with a 8-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.