Marvin Capéran vs Bruno Pudins

Nov 20, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast67%Marvin Capéran33%Bruno PudinsFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 20, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAdidas Arena

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 20, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 5:00 AM
Your time

Marvin CapéranTortank |1-0-0Marvin Capéran vs Bruno PudinsBruno Pudins0-1-0

Marvin CapéranTortank1-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

1-0-0Record0-1-0

TBDAgeTBD

TBDHeight5'8"

TBDReachTBD

176 lbsWeight185 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Bruno Pudins0-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marvin Capéran owns a 52-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Marvin Capéran and Bruno Pudins across their careers →

Recent form

Marvin CapéranW · +29 Elo last 1

Bruno PudinsL · -23 Elo last 1

Elo edge

Marvin Capéran1529+29 last move

Bruno Pudins1477-23 last move

Why they are ranked here

Marvin Capéran#253 of 289 active Middleweight fighters · 1529 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Arnaud Muller (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Next places: 0 points behind #252 Lance Wright, 0 ahead of #254 Radovan Úškrt.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Sample: Only 1 rated fight, so each result still moves this rating more than a veteran's.

Bruno Pudins#279 of 289 active Middleweight fighters · 1477 Elo

Costliest loss: Lost to Antonio Budimir (rated 1565 at the time): -23.
Next places: 1 point behind #278 Jeferson Costa, 0 ahead of #280 Ryan Parker.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1565 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Peak: Career high 1500, now 23 below it.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

67%Marvin Capéran33%Bruno Pudins

Model favoriteMarvin Capéran

Elo baseline57% for Marvin Capéran

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Marvin CapéranStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Marvin Capéran leads the full model at 67%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 9 points.

Current Elo ratings1529 · 1477Marvin Capéran leads by 52 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1565Bruno Pudins faced the stronger recent schedule (1 vs 1 sampled fights).

Elo record depth1 · 1 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Marvin CapéranNow 1529 · #253 Middleweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1549

Loses by decision-28→ 1501

Bruno PudinsNow 1477 · #279 Middleweight

Wins by decision+28→ 1505

Loses by decision-20→ 1457

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Marvin CapéranvsBruno Pudins

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Marvin CapéranKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Bruno PudinsNo tracked pro wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Marvin CapéranBruno Pudins

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 4.10

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.80

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.61

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

1Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Marvin Capéran vs Bruno Pudins is a scheduled Welterweight fight on ARES FC 45 : ZÉBO VS BAKI 2. Marvin Capéran enters with a 1-0-0 record and Bruno Pudins enters with a 0-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.