Masashi Kumura vs Ellis Barboza

Nov 18, 2026 · Internet PPV

Combat Edge model forecast55%Masashi Kumura45%Ellis BarbozaFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 18, 2026

DivisionStrawweight Kickboxing

StatusScheduled

VenueEBARA WAVE Arena Ota

BroadcastInternet PPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Wednesday, November 18, 2026 — watch on Internet PPV.

US East (ET): Wed 3:30 AM
US West (PT): Wed 12:30 AM
United Kingdom: Wed 8:30 AM
Central Europe: Wed 9:30 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 7:30 PM
Your time

Masashi Kumura0-0-0Masashi Kumura vs Ellis BarbozaEllis BarbozaEl Jefe |0-0-0

Masashi Kumura0-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

0-0-0Record0-0-0

27AgeTBD

5'6"Height5'5"

-Reach67"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Strawweight KickboxingWeight ClassStrawweight Kickboxing

Ellis BarbozaEl Jefe0-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Masashi Kumura and Ellis Barboza across their careers →

Recent form

Masashi KumuraNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Ellis BarbozaNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Masashi KumuraTBDTBD last move

Ellis BarbozaTBDTBD last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

55%Masashi Kumura45%Ellis Barboza

Model favoriteMasashi Kumura

Elo baseline50% for Masashi Kumura

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Masashi KumuraStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Masashi Kumura at 55%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Masashi KumuravsEllis Barboza

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Masashi KumuraNo tracked pro wins

Ellis BarbozaNo tracked pro wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Masashi KumuraEllis Barboza

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.14

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.13

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.36

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 60%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.44

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Masashi Kumura vs Ellis Barboza is a scheduled Strawweight Kickboxing fight on ONE SAMURAI 5 : PACIO VS YAMAKITA. Masashi Kumura enters with a 0-0-0 record and Ellis Barboza enters with a 0-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.