Reiji Takagi vs Rui Botelho

Nov 18, 2026 · Internet PPV

Combat Edge model forecast58%Reiji Takagi42%Rui BotelhoFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 18, 2026

DivisionStrawweight Kickboxing

StatusScheduled

VenueEBARA WAVE Arena Ota

BroadcastInternet PPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Wednesday, November 18, 2026 — watch on Internet PPV.

US East (ET): Wed 3:30 AM
US West (PT): Wed 12:30 AM
United Kingdom: Wed 8:30 AM
Central Europe: Wed 9:30 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 7:30 PM
Your time

Reiji Takagi0-0-0Reiji Takagi vs Rui BotelhoRui Botelho0-0-0

Reiji Takagi0-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

0-0-0Record0-0-0

19Age31

5'8"Height5'7"

-Reach67"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

Strawweight KickboxingWeight ClassStrawweight Kickboxing

Rui Botelho0-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Reiji Takagi and Rui Botelho across their careers →

Recent form

Reiji TakagiNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Rui BotelhoNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Reiji TakagiTBDTBD last move

Rui BotelhoTBDTBD last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

58%Reiji Takagi42%Rui Botelho

Model favoriteReiji Takagi

Elo baseline50% for Reiji Takagi

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Reiji TakagiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Reiji Takagi at 58%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Reiji TakagivsRui Botelho

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Reiji TakagiNo tracked pro wins

Rui BotelhoNo tracked pro wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Reiji TakagiRui Botelho

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.14

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.13

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.36

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 60%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.44

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Reiji Takagi vs Rui Botelho is a scheduled Strawweight Kickboxing fight on ONE SAMURAI 5 : PACIO VS YAMAKITA. Reiji Takagi enters with a 0-0-0 record and Rui Botelho enters with a 0-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.