Sundet Aytkul vs Maycon Alcino

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast69%Sundet Aytkul31%Maycon AlcinoFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Sundet Aytkul13-2-0Sundet Aytkul vs Maycon AlcinoMaycon Alcino15-8-1

Sundet Aytkul13-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-2-0Record15-8-1

27Age29

5'11"Height5'7"

TBDReachTBD

147 lbsWeight135 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Maycon Alcino15-8-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Sundet Aytkul owns a 81-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sundet Aytkul and Maycon Alcino across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sundet AytkulMaycon Alcino

Recent form

Sundet AytkulW W W W W · +70 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Maycon AlcinoW L W L W · 0 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Sundet Aytkul1668+11 last move

Maycon Alcino1587+12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sundet Aytkul#127 of 430 active Lightweight fighters · 1668 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kazakbai Tilenov (rated 1500 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Qinghe Zhang (rated 1456 at the time): -42.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +70 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #126 George Hardwick, 1 ahead of #128 Vener Galiev.

Maycon Alcino#225 of 343 active Bantamweight fighters · 1587 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Hector Santiago (rated 1616 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Kevin Navarro (rated 1534 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, 0 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #224 AJ Cunningham, 0 ahead of #226 Roman Paulus.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

69%Sundet Aytkul31%Maycon Alcino

Model favoriteSundet Aytkul

Elo baseline61% for Sundet Aytkul

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Sundet AytkulStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Sundet Aytkul leads the full model at 69%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 8 points.

Current Elo ratings1668 · 1587Sundet Aytkul leads by 81 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1509Maycon Alcino faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth14 · 24 fightsMaycon Alcino has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Sundet AytkulNow 1668 · #127 Lightweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1680

Loses by decision-20→ 1648

Maycon AlcinoNow 1587 · #225 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1607

Loses by decision-12→ 1575

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sundet AytkulvsMaycon Alcino

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sundet Aytkulsubmission leads 54% of wins

Maycon Alcinosubmission leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sundet AytkulMaycon Alcino

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

5Wins by knockout3

7Wins by submission9

1Wins by decision5

1Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision5

Sundet Aytkul vs Maycon Alcino is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Sundet Aytkul enters with a 13-2-0 record and Maycon Alcino enters with a 15-8-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.