Sylvester Chipfumbu vs Abdelrahman Essam

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast22%Sylvester Chipfumbu78%Abdelrahman EssamFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Sylvester ChipfumbuGladiator |14-6-0Sylvester Chipfumbu vs Abdelrahman EssamAbdelrahman EssamThe Mummy |10-0-0

Sylvester ChipfumbuGladiator14-6-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-6-0Record10-0-0

34Age31

5'7"Height5'10"

70.9"Reach-

125 lbsWeight145 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Abdelrahman EssamThe Mummy10-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Abdelrahman Essam owns a 83-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sylvester Chipfumbu and Abdelrahman Essam across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sylvester ChipfumbuAbdelrahman Essam

Recent form

Sylvester ChipfumbuW W W W L · +32 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Abdelrahman EssamW W W W W · +77 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Sylvester Chipfumbu1617+12 last move

Abdelrahman Essam1700+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sylvester Chipfumbu#98 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1617 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ali AlQaisi (rated 1631 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Faeez Jacobs (rated 1502 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +32 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #97 Ronan Deegan, 2 ahead of #99 Bekhzod Abdurakhimov.

Abdelrahman Essam#74 of 409 active Featherweight fighters · 1700 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Isaiah Metituk (rated 1502 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +77 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #73 Austin Bashi, 1 ahead of #75 Chepe Mariscal.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1495 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

22%Sylvester Chipfumbu78%Abdelrahman Essam

Model favoriteAbdelrahman Essam

Elo baseline62% for Abdelrahman Essam

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Abdelrahman EssamStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Abdelrahman Essam leads the full model at 78%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 16 points.

Current Elo ratings1617 · 1700Abdelrahman Essam leads by 83 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1522 · 1495Sylvester Chipfumbu faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth20 · 10 fightsSylvester Chipfumbu has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Sylvester ChipfumbuNow 1617 · #98 Flyweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1637

Loses by decision-12→ 1605

Abdelrahman EssamNow 1700 · #74 Featherweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1712

Loses by decision-20→ 1680

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sylvester ChipfumbuvsAbdelrahman Essam

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sylvester Chipfumbudecision leads 57% of wins

Abdelrahman Essamsubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sylvester ChipfumbuAbdelrahman Essam

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

5Wins by knockout4

1Wins by submission5

8Wins by decision1

2Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision0

Sylvester Chipfumbu vs Abdelrahman Essam is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Sylvester Chipfumbu enters with a 14-6-0 record and Abdelrahman Essam enters with a 10-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.