Jaures Dea vs Marouane Bellagouit

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast54%Jaures Dea46%Marouane BellagouitFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Jaures DeaThe Crazy Cameroonian |13-7-0Jaures Dea vs Marouane BellagouitMarouane BellagouitThe Snatcher |6-4-0

Jaures DeaThe Crazy Cameroonian13-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

13-7-0Record6-4-0

32AgeTBD

5'7"Height5'10"

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Marouane BellagouitThe Snatcher6-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jaures Dea owns a 64-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jaures Dea and Marouane Bellagouit across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jaures DeaMarouane Bellagouit

Recent form

Jaures DeaW W W L L · -1 Elo last 5

WWWLL

Marouane BellagouitL L W L L · -90 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Jaures Dea1593+10 last move

Marouane Bellagouit1529-31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jaures Dea#254 of 409 active Featherweight fighters · 1593 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Sylvester Chipfumbu (rated 1575 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Faeez Jacobs (rated 1480 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -1 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #253 Malik Bendaho, 0 ahead of #255 Marko Ančić.

Marouane Bellagouit#351 of 409 active Featherweight fighters · 1529 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Youssef Fathy (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Abdullah Al-Qahtani (rated 1500 at the time): -36.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -90 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #350 Jose Cordova, 0 ahead of #352 Stevie Lee.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

54%Jaures Dea46%Marouane Bellagouit

Model favoriteJaures Dea

Elo baseline59% for Jaures Dea

Matchup adjustment-5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Jaures DeaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Jaures Dea leads the full model at 54%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1593 · 1529Jaures Dea leads by 64 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1504 · 1519Marouane Bellagouit faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth20 · 10 fightsJaures Dea has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Jaures DeaNow 1593 · #254 Featherweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1606

Loses by decision-19→ 1574

Marouane BellagouitNow 1529 · #351 Featherweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1548

Loses by decision-13→ 1516

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jaures DeavsMarouane Bellagouit

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Jaures Deadecision leads 46% of wins

Marouane BellagouitKO/TKO leads 83% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jaures DeaMarouane Bellagouit

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

5Wins by knockout5

2Wins by submission0

6Wins by decision2

1Losses by knockout1

2Losses by submission1

4Losses by decision2

Jaures Dea vs Marouane Bellagouit is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Jaures Dea enters with a 13-7-0 record and Marouane Bellagouit enters with a 6-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.