Recent form
Rafael Tobias L W W W W · +21 Elo last 5
L W W W W
Diyar Nurgozhay W L L W W · +11 Elo last 5
W L L W W
UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2
Event UFC 326 : HOLLOWAY VS OLIVEIRA 2
Date Mar 7, 2026
Division Light Heavyweight
Status Completed
Venue T-MOBILE ARENA
Broadcast PARAMOUNT+
L
Bipolar | 14-2-0 Rafael Tobias
W
11-2-0 Diyar Nurgozhay
Rafael Tobias vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Method :Decision (unanimous)
Round :R3
Time :5:00
Time format :(5-5-5)
Referee :Herb Dean
Details :(30–27, 29–28, 29–28)
Elo1675Good
3Y trend1652 → 1675
Fight Overview
RoundR3
Time5:00
MethodDecision (unanimous)
Elo1672Good
3Y trend1684 → 1672
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Rafael Tobias owns a 3-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.
Elo edge
Rafael Tobias 1675 -18 last move
Diyar Nurgozhay 1672 +18 last move
Stat advantages
Takedown defense
0% vs 100%
Submission average
3.98 vs 0
Sig. strike accuracy
31% vs 50%
Takedown average
3.98 vs 2.54
Finishing profile
Rafael Tobias submission leads 43% of wins
Diyar Nurgozhay KO/TKO leads 55% of wins
Common opponents
No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.