Thiago Tavares vs Nik Lentz

Jan 11, 2010 · ESPN+

DateJan 11, 2010

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePatriot Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Monday, January 11, 2010 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Mon 4:00 PM
US West (PT): Mon 1:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 9:00 PM
Central Europe: Mon 10:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Tue 8:00 AM
Your time

Thiago Tavares24-11-1Thiago Tavares vs Nik LentzNik LentzThe Carny |30-12-2

Thiago Tavares24-11-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:05:00

24-11-1Record30-12-2

41Age42

5'7"Height5'8"

68,0"ReachTBD

145 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Nik LentzThe Carny30-12-2

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Nik Lentz owns a 21-point Elo edge (good). Thiago Tavares shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Thiago Tavares and Nik Lentz across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Thiago TavaresNik Lentz

Recent form

Thiago TavaresL W W L L · -28 Elo last 5

LWWLL

Nik LentzL L L W W · +1 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Thiago Tavares1645-20 last move

Nik Lentz1666-7 last move

Why they are ranked here

Thiago TavaresNot on the active ladder · 1645 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Laercio Alves (rated 1527 at the time): +10.
Costliest loss: Lost to Timur Nagibin (rated 1532 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -28 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1555, not 1645: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Nik LentzNot on the active ladder · 1666 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Will Brooks (rated 1733 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Charles Oliveira (rated 1746 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, +1 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1576, not 1666: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Thiago TavaresNow 1645

Wins by decision+13→ 1658

Loses by decision-11→ 1634

Nik LentzNow 1666

Wins by decision+11→ 1677

Loses by decision-13→ 1653

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Thiago TavaresvsNik Lentz

Sig. strikes landed per min

2vs3.44

Takedown defense

63%vs44%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.31vs3.25

Takedown accuracy

43%vs33%

Finishing profile

Thiago Tavaressubmission leads 63% of wins

Nik LentzKO/TKO leads 37% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Thiago TavaresNik Lentz

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2Sig. strikes landed per min3.44

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

40Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC featherweight average : 46%

2.31Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.25

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

63Sig. strike defense50

UFC featherweight average : 54%

3.83Takedown average3.30

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

43Takedown accuracy33

UFC featherweight average : 29%

63Takedown defense44

UFC featherweight average : 55%

1.46Submission average1.24

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

4Wins by knockout11

15Wins by submission8

5Wins by decision11

8Losses by knockout3

0Losses by submission2

3Losses by decision7

Thiago Tavares vs Nik Lentz is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MAYNARD VS DIAZ. Thiago Tavares enters with a 24-11-1 record and Nik Lentz enters with a 30-12-2 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.