Bella Mir vs Hope Chase

Oct 23, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast45%Bella Mir55%Hope ChaseFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 23, 2026

DivisionBantamweight Wrestling

StatusScheduled

VenueBleauLive Theater

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 23, 2026.

US East (ET): Fri 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 11:00 AM
Your time

Bella MirLady |4-1-0Bella Mir vs Hope ChaseHope ChaseHurricane |7-3-0

Bella MirLady4-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-1-0Record7-3-0

23Age27

5'7"Height5'5"

67"ReachTBD

136 lbsWeight135 lbs

Bantamweight WrestlingWeight ClassBantamweight Wrestling

Hope ChaseHurricane7-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Hope Chase owns a 32-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Bella Mir and Hope Chase across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Bella MirHope Chase

Recent form

Bella MirL W W W W · +72 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Hope ChaseW W W L W · +76 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Bella Mir1571-27 last move

Hope Chase1603+30 last move

Why they are ranked here

Bella Mir#44 of 67 active Women Bantamweight fighters · 1571 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alma Cespedes (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alex Apodaca (rated 1551 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +72 Elo in total.
Next places: 6 points behind #43 Lucrezia Ria, 3 ahead of #45 Lucie Pudilová.

Hope Chase#32 of 67 active Women Bantamweight fighters · 1603 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Morgan Hickam (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Heather Walker-Leahy (rated 1500 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +76 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #31 Talita Bernardo, 0 ahead of #33 Mayra Bueno Silva.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

45%Bella Mir55%Hope Chase

Model favoriteHope Chase

Elo baseline55% for Hope Chase

Matchup adjustment0 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Hope ChaseStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Hope Chase leads the full model at 55%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1571 · 1603Hope Chase leads by 32 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1510 · 1510Equal pre-fight opponent Elo across 5 and 10 sampled fights.

Elo record depth5 · 10 fightsHope Chase has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Bella MirNow 1571 · #44 Women Bantamweight

Wins by decision+26→ 1597

Loses by decision-22→ 1549

Hope ChaseNow 1603 · #32 Women Bantamweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1618

Loses by decision-17→ 1586

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Bella MirvsHope Chase

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Bella Mirsubmission leads 75% of wins

Hope Chasesubmission leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Bella MirHope Chase

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

0Wins by knockout1

3Wins by submission4

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Bella Mir vs Hope Chase is a scheduled Bantamweight Wrestling fight on RAF 14 : TSARUKYAN VS DANIS. Bella Mir enters with a 4-1-0 record and Hope Chase enters with a 7-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.