Ayissi Bessala vs Diego Bandu

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast39%Ayissi Bessala61%Diego BanduFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Ayissi Bessala3-0-0Ayissi Bessala vs Diego BanduDiego BanduPangaMan |7-2-0

Ayissi Bessala3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record7-2-0

TBDAgeTBD

6'0"Height6'4"

TBDReachTBD

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Diego BanduPangaMan7-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Diego Bandu owns a 39-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ayissi Bessala and Diego Bandu across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ayissi BessalaDiego Bandu

Recent form

Ayissi BessalaW W W · +78 Elo last 3

WWW

Diego BanduW W W L W · +67 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Ayissi Bessala1578+23 last move

Diego Bandu1617+19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ayissi Bessala#187 of 280 active Middleweight fighters · 1578 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ulugbek Rakhmonov (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +78 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #186 Emile Vujakovic, 2 ahead of #188 Dillon Danis.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1493 Elo over the last 3 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Diego Bandu#139 of 280 active Middleweight fighters · 1617 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mark Kamba (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Khaled Laallam (rated 1500 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +67 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #138 Trent Miller, 2 ahead of #140 Joseph Kropschot.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

39%Ayissi Bessala61%Diego Bandu

Model favoriteDiego Bandu

Elo baseline56% for Diego Bandu

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Diego BanduStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Diego Bandu leads the full model at 61%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1578 · 1617Diego Bandu leads by 39 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1493 · 1508Diego Bandu faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 9 fightsDiego Bandu has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Ayissi BessalaNow 1578 · #187 Middleweight

Wins by decision+27→ 1605

Loses by decision-21→ 1557

Diego BanduNow 1617 · #139 Middleweight

Wins by decision+21→ 1638

Loses by decision-27→ 1590

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ayissi BessalavsDiego Bandu

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ayissi BessalaKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Diego BanduKO/TKO leads 71% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ayissi BessalaDiego Bandu

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

3Wins by knockout5

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision2

Ayissi Bessala vs Diego Bandu is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Ayissi Bessala enters with a 3-0-0 record and Diego Bandu enters with a 7-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.