Lisa Zimmo vs Gase Sanita

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast60%Lisa Zimmo40%Gase SanitaFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Lisa ZimmoShellshock |5-0-0Lisa Zimmo vs Gase SanitaGase Sanita5-5-0

Lisa ZimmoShellshock5-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-0-0Record5-5-0

33AgeTBD

5'10"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

135 lbsWeight155 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Gase Sanita5-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Lisa Zimmo owns a 77-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Lisa Zimmo and Gase Sanita across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Lisa ZimmoGase Sanita

Recent form

Lisa ZimmoW W W W W · +112 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Gase SanitaL W W W L · +38 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Elo edge

Lisa Zimmo1611+15 last move

Gase Sanita1534-24 last move

Why they are ranked here

Lisa Zimmo#29 of 69 active Women Bantamweight fighters · 1611 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Sohila Sleem (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +112 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #28 Klaudia Syguła, 2 ahead of #30 Kate Bacik.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1495 Elo over the last 5 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Gase Sanita#1 of 1 active Women Lightweight fighters · 1534 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tehanahana Bernardino (rated 1500 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Macca Jean (rated 1500 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +38 Elo in total.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

60%Lisa Zimmo40%Gase Sanita

Model favoriteLisa Zimmo

Elo baseline61% for Lisa Zimmo

Matchup adjustment-1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Lisa ZimmoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Lisa Zimmo leads the full model at 60%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1611 · 1534Lisa Zimmo leads by 77 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1495 · 1500Gase Sanita faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 10 fightsGase Sanita has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Lisa ZimmoNow 1611 · #29 Women Bantamweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1630

Loses by decision-29→ 1582

Gase SanitaNow 1534 · #1 Women Lightweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1553

Loses by decision-13→ 1521

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Lisa ZimmovsGase Sanita

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Lisa ZimmoKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Gase Sanitasubmission leads 60% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Lisa ZimmoGase Sanita

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

2Wins by knockout1

1Wins by submission3

2Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision5

Lisa Zimmo vs Gase Sanita is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Lisa Zimmo enters with a 5-0-0 record and Gase Sanita enters with a 5-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.