Bekhzod Abdurakhimov vs Ata Atdayev

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast41%Bekhzod Abdurakhimov59%Ata AtdayevFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Bekhzod Abdurakhimov7-1-0Bekhzod Abdurakhimov vs Ata AtdayevAta Atdayev7-0-0

Bekhzod Abdurakhimov7-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-1-0Record7-0-0

28Age29

TBDHeight5'5"

TBDReach-

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Ata Atdayev7-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ata Atdayev owns a 42-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Bekhzod Abdurakhimov and Ata Atdayev across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Bekhzod AbdurakhimovAta Atdayev

Recent form

Bekhzod AbdurakhimovW L W W W · +44 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Ata AtdayevW W W W W · +105 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Bekhzod Abdurakhimov1615+21 last move

Ata Atdayev1657+27 last move

Why they are ranked here

Bekhzod Abdurakhimov#99 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1615 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Miravaz Mirjalolov (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Saimumin Madiev (rated 1479 at the time): -41.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +44 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #98 Sylvester Chipfumbu, 0 ahead of #100 Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu.

Ata Atdayev#58 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1657 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Roman Dobrynin (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +105 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #57 Juscelino Pantoja, 0 ahead of #59 Nilson Rojas.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1514 Elo over the last 7 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

41%Bekhzod Abdurakhimov59%Ata Atdayev

Model favoriteAta Atdayev

Elo baseline56% for Ata Atdayev

Matchup adjustment+3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ata AtdayevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Ata Atdayev leads the full model at 59%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1615 · 1657Ata Atdayev leads by 42 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1495 · 1514Ata Atdayev faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 7 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 7 fightsBekhzod Abdurakhimov has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Bekhzod AbdurakhimovNow 1615 · #99 Flyweight

Wins by decision+27→ 1642

Loses by decision-21→ 1594

Ata AtdayevNow 1657 · #58 Flyweight

Wins by decision+21→ 1678

Loses by decision-27→ 1630

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Bekhzod AbdurakhimovvsAta Atdayev

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Bekhzod AbdurakhimovKO/TKO leads 29% of wins

Ata Atdayevdecision leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Bekhzod AbdurakhimovAta Atdayev

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

2Wins by knockout2

2Wins by submission2

1Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Bekhzod Abdurakhimov vs Ata Atdayev is a scheduled Flyweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Bekhzod Abdurakhimov enters with a 7-1-0 record and Ata Atdayev enters with a 7-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.