Kaique Modesto vs Jonny Becerra

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast56%Kaique Modesto44%Jonny BecerraFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBuesa Arena

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Kaique Modesto7-5-0Kaique Modesto vs Jonny BecerraJonny Becerra2-1-0

Kaique Modesto7-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-5-0Record2-1-0

32AgeTBD

5'10"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

135 lbsWeightTBD

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Jonny Becerra2-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jonny Becerra owns a 2-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kaique Modesto and Jonny Becerra across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kaique ModestoJonny Becerra

Recent form

Kaique ModestoW L L W L · -5 Elo last 5

WLLWL

Jonny BecerraL W W · +20 Elo last 3

LWW

Elo edge

Kaique Modesto1518+30 last move

Jonny Becerra1520-27 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kaique Modesto#302 of 343 active Bantamweight fighters · 1518 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jean Martins (rated 1500 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Willian Dam (rated 1500 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -5 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #301 Ruel Pañales, 1 ahead of #303 Alexandre Carole.

Jonny Becerra#4 of 6 active Unassigned fighters · 1520 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Edgar Pereira (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ken Sekeletu (rated 1500 at the time): -27.
Last 3 fights: 2 wins, 1 loss, +20 Elo in total.
Next places: 16 points behind #3 Pedro Henrique Dias, 16 ahead of #5 Arkaitz Ramos.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

56%Kaique Modesto44%Jonny Becerra

Model favoriteKaique Modesto

Elo baseline50% for Kaique Modesto

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Kaique ModestoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Kaique Modesto is 56%, after Elo alone favored Jonny Becerra at 50%.

Current Elo ratings1518 · 1520Jonny Becerra leads by 2 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1525 · 1500Kaique Modesto faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 3 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 3 fightsKaique Modesto has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Kaique ModestoNow 1518 · #302 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1542

Loses by decision-24→ 1494

Jonny BecerraNow 1520 · #4 Unassigned

Wins by decision+24→ 1544

Loses by decision-24→ 1496

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kaique ModestovsJonny Becerra

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kaique Modestosubmission leads 43% of wins

Jonny BecerraWin method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kaique ModestoJonny Becerra

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

1Wins by knockout0

3Wins by submission0

2Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

5Losses by decision0

Kaique Modesto vs Jonny Becerra is a scheduled Featherweight fight on WOW 33 : GARCIA VS SANCHEZ. Kaique Modesto enters with a 7-5-0 record and Jonny Becerra enters with a 2-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.