Daniel Richardson vs Willmar Quirama

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast49%Daniel Richardson51%Willmar QuiramaFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBuesa Arena

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Daniel RichardsonEl Favorito |3-0-0Daniel Richardson vs Willmar QuiramaWillmar QuiramaJunior |4-0-1

Daniel RichardsonEl Favorito3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record4-0-1

25Age25

5'9"Height5'8"

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight150 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Willmar QuiramaJunior4-0-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Willmar Quirama owns a 21-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Daniel Richardson and Willmar Quirama across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Daniel RichardsonWillmar Quirama

Recent form

Daniel RichardsonW W W · +74 Elo last 3

WWW

Willmar QuiramaW W W W D · +96 Elo last 5

WWWWD

Elo edge

Daniel Richardson1574+25 last move

Willmar Quirama1595+19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Daniel Richardson#291 of 409 active Featherweight fighters · 1574 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Maciej Łapka (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +74 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #290 Roberto Romero, 0 ahead of #292 Jordan Oliver.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1491 Elo over the last 3 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Willmar Quirama#273 of 430 active Lightweight fighters · 1595 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Roberto Mario Ionescu (rated 1554 at the time): +28.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 0 losses, +96 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #272 Viacheslav Borshchev, 1 ahead of #274 Assem Ghanem.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1507 Elo over the last 5 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

49%Daniel Richardson51%Willmar Quirama

Model favoriteWillmar Quirama

Elo baseline53% for Willmar Quirama

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Willmar QuiramaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Willmar Quirama leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1574 · 1595Willmar Quirama leads by 21 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1491 · 1507Willmar Quirama faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 5 fightsWillmar Quirama has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Daniel RichardsonNow 1574 · #291 Featherweight

Wins by decision+25→ 1599

Loses by decision-23→ 1551

Willmar QuiramaNow 1595 · #273 Lightweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1618

Loses by decision-25→ 1570

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Daniel RichardsonvsWillmar Quirama

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Daniel RichardsonKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Willmar Quiramadecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Daniel RichardsonWillmar Quirama

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

2Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission1

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Daniel Richardson vs Willmar Quirama is a scheduled Featherweight fight on WOW 33 : GARCIA VS SANCHEZ. Daniel Richardson enters with a 3-0-0 record and Willmar Quirama enters with a 4-0-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.