Ubay Gonzalez vs Yaman Mjahed

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast43%Ubay Gonzalez57%Yaman MjahedFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBuesa Arena

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Ubay Gonzalez4-3-0Ubay Gonzalez vs Yaman MjahedYaman MjahedEl Diamante |3-2-0

Ubay Gonzalez4-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-3-0Record3-2-0

TBDAge24

5'6"Height5'8"

TBDReachTBD

130 lbsWeight125 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Yaman MjahedEl Diamante3-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Yaman Mjahed owns a 8-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ubay Gonzalez and Yaman Mjahed across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ubay GonzalezYaman Mjahed

Recent form

Ubay GonzalezL L W W W · +20 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Yaman MjahedL L W W W · +27 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Ubay Gonzalez1518-27 last move

Yaman Mjahed1526-31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ubay GonzalezNot on the active ladder · 1518 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Diego Levante (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Rafael Calderon (rated 1500 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +20 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1467, not 1518: 51 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Yaman Mjahed#180 of 213 active Flyweight fighters · 1526 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Diego Larrea Quiñones (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Delffy Humer (rated 1529 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +27 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #179 Sebastian Quevedo, 1 ahead of #181 Jae Hoon Lee.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

43%Ubay Gonzalez57%Yaman Mjahed

Model favoriteYaman Mjahed

Elo baseline51% for Yaman Mjahed

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Yaman MjahedStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Yaman Mjahed leads the full model at 57%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1518 · 1526Yaman Mjahed leads by 8 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1491 · 1538Yaman Mjahed faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth7 · 5 fightsUbay Gonzalez has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Ubay GonzalezNow 1518

Wins by decision+25→ 1543

Loses by decision-23→ 1495

Yaman MjahedNow 1526 · #180 Flyweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1549

Loses by decision-25→ 1501

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ubay GonzalezvsYaman Mjahed

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ubay GonzalezKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Yaman MjahedKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ubay GonzalezYaman Mjahed

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

2Wins by knockout3

1Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Ubay Gonzalez vs Yaman Mjahed is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on WOW 33 : GARCIA VS SANCHEZ. Ubay Gonzalez enters with a 4-3-0 record and Yaman Mjahed enters with a 3-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.