Francis Silumsadisa vs Roberto Mario Ionescu

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast47%Francis Silumsadisa53%Roberto Mario IonescuFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBuesa Arena

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Francis SilumsadisaAfro-gypsy |2-1-0Francis Silumsadisa vs Roberto Mario IonescuRoberto Mario Ionescu3-2-1

Francis SilumsadisaAfro-gypsy2-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

2-1-0Record3-2-1

TBDAgeTBD

5'8"Height5'10"

TBDReach70"

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Roberto Mario Ionescu3-2-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Francis Silumsadisa owns a 4-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Francis Silumsadisa and Roberto Mario Ionescu across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Francis SilumsadisaRoberto Mario Ionescu

Recent form

Francis SilumsadisaW L W · +28 Elo last 3

WLW

Roberto Mario IonescuL W L W D · -5 Elo last 5

LWLWD

Elo edge

Francis Silumsadisa1528+29 last move

Roberto Mario Ionescu1524-29 last move

Why they are ranked here

Francis Silumsadisa#354 of 409 active Featherweight fighters · 1528 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Fer Martin (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Meruzhan Palian (rated 1476 at the time): -27.
Last 3 fights: 2 wins, 1 loss, +28 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #353 Tristan Gagne, 0 ahead of #355 Hiroaki Suzuki.

Roberto Mario Ionescu#360 of 409 active Featherweight fighters · 1524 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Laxandro Barjo (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jonathan Garcia (rated 1553 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, -5 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #359 Collin Anglin, 1 ahead of #361 Guillaume Delattre.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

47%Francis Silumsadisa53%Roberto Mario Ionescu

Model favoriteRoberto Mario Ionescu

Elo baseline49% for Roberto Mario Ionescu

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Roberto Mario IonescuStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Roberto Mario Ionescu is 53%, after Elo alone favored Francis Silumsadisa at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1528 · 1524Francis Silumsadisa leads by 4 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1502 · 1509Roberto Mario Ionescu faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 6 fightsRoberto Mario Ionescu has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Francis SilumsadisaNow 1528 · #354 Featherweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1552

Loses by decision-24→ 1504

Roberto Mario IonescuNow 1524 · #360 Featherweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1548

Loses by decision-24→ 1500

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Francis SilumsadisavsRoberto Mario Ionescu

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Francis SilumsadisaKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Roberto Mario IonescuKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Francis SilumsadisaRoberto Mario Ionescu

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

1Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission1

1Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision1

Francis Silumsadisa vs Roberto Mario Ionescu is a scheduled Featherweight fight on WOW 33 : GARCIA VS SANCHEZ. Francis Silumsadisa enters with a 2-1-0 record and Roberto Mario Ionescu enters with a 3-2-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.