Cezar Ferreira vs Ian Heinisch

Nov 18, 2018 · ESPN+

DateNov 18, 2018

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueArena Parque Roca

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, November 18, 2018 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Cezar FerreiraMutante |14-11-0Cezar Ferreira vs Ian HeinischIan HeinischThe Hurricane |14-5-0

Cezar FerreiraMutante14-11-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-11-0Record14-5-0

41Age38

6'1"Height5'11"

TBDReachTBD

216 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Ian HeinischThe Hurricane14-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ian Heinisch owns a 93-point Elo edge (good). Cezar Ferreira shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Cezar Ferreira and Ian Heinisch across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cezar FerreiraIan Heinisch

Recent form

Cezar FerreiraL L L W L · -41 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Ian HeinischL L W L L · -56 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Cezar Ferreira1592-7 last move

Ian Heinisch1685-22 last move

Why they are ranked here

Cezar FerreiraNot on the active ladder · 1592 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jack Hermansson (rated 1710 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Marthin Hamlet (rated 1482 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -41 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1520, not 1592: 72 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Ian HeinischNot on the active ladder · 1685 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Gerald Meerschaert (rated 1678 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nassourdine Imavov (rated 1650 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -56 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1595, not 1685: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Cezar FerreiraNow 1592

Wins by decision+15→ 1607

Loses by decision-9→ 1583

Ian HeinischNow 1685

Wins by decision+12→ 1697

Loses by decision-20→ 1665

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Cezar FerreiravsIan Heinisch

Takedown accuracy

54%vs17%

Takedown average

2.69vs1.02

Sig. strikes landed per min

1.90vs3.25

Takedown defense

85%vs60%

Finishing profile

Cezar Ferreiradecision leads 43% of wins

Ian Heinischdecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Sam Alvey Cezar Ferreira: loss · Punches · Feb 22, 2015Ian Heinisch: cancelled · Feb 5, 2022

Tom BreeseCezar Ferreira: cancelled · Mar 16, 2019Ian Heinisch: cancelled · Mar 16, 2019

Tale of the tape

Cezar FerreiraIan Heinisch

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.90Sig. strikes landed per min3.25

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

43Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

2.44Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.98

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

54Sig. strike defense59

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

2.69Takedown average1.02

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

54Takedown accuracy17

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

85Takedown defense60

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0.48Submission average0.68

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

4Wins by knockout5

4Wins by submission2

6Wins by decision7

6Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

5Losses by decision3

Cezar Ferreira vs Ian Heinisch is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MAGNY VS PONZINIBBIO. Cezar Ferreira enters with a 14-11-0 record and Ian Heinisch enters with a 14-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.