Cobey Fehr vs Rosario Romero

Oct 16, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast75%Cobey Fehr25%Rosario RomeroFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 16, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueWintrust Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 16, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 AM
Your time

Cobey FehrThe Don |4-0-0Cobey Fehr vs Rosario RomeroRosario Romero4-0-0

Cobey FehrThe Don4-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

4-0-0Record4-0-0

32AgeTBD

5'6"Height5'7"

70"Reach68"

136 lbsWeight145 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Rosario Romero4-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Cobey Fehr owns a 7-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Cobey Fehr and Rosario Romero across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cobey FehrRosario Romero

Recent form

Cobey FehrW W W W · +96 Elo last 4

WWWW

Rosario RomeroW W W W · +89 Elo last 4

WWWW

Elo edge

Cobey Fehr1596+23 last move

Rosario Romero1589+18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Cobey Fehr#208 of 319 active Bantamweight fighters · 1596 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Desmond Manabat (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 4 fights: 4 wins, 0 losses, +96 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #207 James Clarke, 0 ahead of #209 Mason Carzino-Hartshorn.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1493 Elo over the last 4 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Rosario Romero#256 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1589 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Thom Landeros (rated 1500 at the time): +25.
Last 4 fights: 4 wins, 0 losses, +89 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #255 Lewis Byrne, 1 ahead of #257 Ayton De Paepe.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1496 Elo over the last 4 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

75%Cobey Fehr25%Rosario Romero

Model favoriteCobey Fehr

Elo baseline51% for Cobey Fehr

Matchup adjustment+24 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Cobey FehrStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Cobey Fehr leads the full model at 75%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 24 points.

Current Elo ratings1596 · 1589Cobey Fehr leads by 7 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1493 · 1496Rosario Romero faced the stronger recent schedule (4 vs 4 sampled fights).

Elo record depth4 · 4 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Cobey FehrNow 1596 · #208 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1620

Loses by decision-24→ 1572

Rosario RomeroNow 1589 · #256 Featherweight

Wins by decision+24→ 1613

Loses by decision-24→ 1565

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Cobey FehrvsRosario Romero

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Cobey Fehrsubmission leads 50% of wins

Rosario Romerodecision leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Cobey FehrRosario Romero

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

1Wins by knockout1

2Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Cobey Fehr vs Rosario Romero is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2. Cobey Fehr enters with a 4-0-0 record and Rosario Romero enters with a 4-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.