When is Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento?
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento is listed for PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2 on Oct 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.
PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento
EventPFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2
DateOct 16, 2026
DivisionBantamweight
StatusScheduled
VenueWintrust Arena
BroadcastESPN 2
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Friday, October 16, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.
- US East (ET)
- Fri 7:00 PM
- US West (PT)
- Fri 4:00 PM
- United Kingdom
- Sat 12:00 AM
- Central Europe
- Sat 1:00 AM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sat 10:00 AM
- Your time
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2. Sarvarjon Khamidov enters with a 17-1-0 record and Rafael do Nascimento enters with a 13-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento quick answers
What event is Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento on?
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento is listed on PFL CHICAGO : CARMOUCHE VS BISHOP 2.
What are the records for Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento?
Sarvarjon Khamidov enters with a 17-1-0 record and Rafael do Nascimento enters with a 13-3-0 record.
What division is Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento?
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento is listed as a Bantamweight fight.
Sarvarjon Khamidov
Elo1751Great
3Y trend1756 → 1751
Fight Overview
Round3
Time5:00
17-1-0Record13-3-0
29Age34
5'6"Height5'4"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight
Rafael do Nascimento
Elo1657Good
3Y trend1612 → 1657
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Sarvarjon Khamidov owns a 94-point Elo edge (great). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.
Compare Sarvarjon Khamidov and Rafael do Nascimento across their careers →Elo Recent career Elo trajectory
Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.
Sarvarjon KhamidovRafael do Nascimento
Recent form
Sarvarjon KhamidovW L W W W · +26 Elo last 5
WLWWW
Rafael do NascimentoW W W W W · +88 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Elo edge
Sarvarjon Khamidov1751+15 last move
Rafael do Nascimento1657+22 last move
Model forecast and your pick
Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.
Combat Edge Model
Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28Fight forecast
68%Sarvarjon Khamidov32%Rafael do Nascimento
Model favoriteSarvarjon Khamidov
Elo baseline63% for Sarvarjon Khamidov
Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo
Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.
Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.
Forecast context
Model + Elo agreeWhat separates the fighters
Sarvarjon Khamidov leads the full model at 68%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 5 points.
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?
Pick every bout on this card →Your pick stays private unless you choose to share a completed card.
Stat advantages
Sarvarjon KhamidovvsRafael do Nascimento
No tracked UFC stat edge yet.
Finishing profile
Sarvarjon Khamidovdecision leads 41% of wins
Rafael do Nascimentosubmission leads 69% of wins
Common opponents
Justin WetzellSarvarjon Khamidov: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jun 27, 2026Rafael do Nascimento: win · KO (Punches) · Nov 18, 2022
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