Diego Ferreira vs Kyle Nelson

Dec 9, 2018 · ESPN+

DateDec 9, 2018

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueScotiabank Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, December 9, 2018 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Diego Ferreira20-7-0Diego Ferreira vs Kyle NelsonKyle NelsonThe Monster |17-7-1

Diego Ferreira20-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

20-7-0Record17-7-1

41Age35

5'9"Height5'11"

74"Reach 71"

155 lbsWeight149 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Kyle NelsonThe Monster17-7-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Diego Ferreira owns a 68-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Diego Ferreira and Kyle Nelson across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Diego FerreiraKyle Nelson

Recent form

Diego FerreiraW L L W W · +8 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Kyle NelsonL W L W W · +13 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Diego Ferreira1738+10 last move

Kyle Nelson1670-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Diego Ferreira#32 of 430 active Lightweight fighters · 1738 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mateusz Rębecki (rated 1799 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alexander Hernandez (rated 1707 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +8 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #31 Sidney Outlaw, 0 ahead of #33 Tofiq Musayev.

Kyle Nelson#120 of 430 active Lightweight fighters · 1670 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Bill Algeo (rated 1697 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Terrance McKinney (rated 1660 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +13 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #119 Steve Collins, 0 ahead of #121 Turpal Gediev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Diego FerreiraNow 1738 · #32 Lightweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1748

Loses by decision-14→ 1724

Kyle NelsonNow 1670 · #120 Lightweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1684

Loses by decision-10→ 1660

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Diego FerreiravsKyle Nelson

Takedown accuracy

3%vs5%

Takedown average

0.82vs1.18

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.46vs4.58

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.70vs3.60

Finishing profile

Diego Ferreiradecision leads 40% of wins

Kyle Nelsondecision leads 41% of wins

Common opponents

Billy Quarantillo Diego Ferreira: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Aug 8, 2026 Kyle Nelson: loss · KO (punch) · Sep 12, 2020

Tale of the tape

Diego FerreiraKyle Nelson

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.70Sig. strikes landed per min3.60

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

40Sig. strike accuracy46

UFC lightweight average : 46%

3.46Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.58

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

56Sig. strike defense54

UFC lightweight average : 53%

0.82Takedown average1.18

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

3Takedown accuracy5

UFC lightweight average : 28%

58Takedown defense67

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0.55Submission average0.52

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

5Wins by knockout6

7Wins by submission4

8Wins by decision7

4Losses by knockout4

0Losses by submission1

3Losses by decision2

Diego Ferreira vs Kyle Nelson is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 231 : HOLLOWAY VS ORTEGA. Diego Ferreira enters with a 20-7-0 record and Kyle Nelson enters with a 17-7-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.