Flobater Fares vs Ruel Pañales

Oct 22, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast52%Flobater Fares48%Ruel PañalesFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 22, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueADNEC Marina

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Thursday, October 22, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Thu 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Thu 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Thu 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Thu 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 4:00 AM
Your time

Flobater FaresFouFou |4-0-0Flobater Fares vs Ruel PañalesRuel PañalesBagsik |6-5-0

Flobater FaresFouFou4-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-0-0Record6-5-0

TBDAge29

5'9"Height5'5"

TBDReachTBD

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Ruel PañalesBagsik6-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Flobater Fares owns a 74-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Flobater Fares and Ruel Pañales across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Flobater FaresRuel Pañales

Recent form

Flobater FaresW W W W · +93 Elo last 4

WWWW

Ruel PañalesL L W L L · -77 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Flobater Fares1593+23 last move

Ruel Pañales1519-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Flobater Fares#214 of 343 active Bantamweight fighters · 1593 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Asio Jr. (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Last 4 fights: 4 wins, 0 losses, +93 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #213 Saimon Oliveira, 0 ahead of #215 Ryoto Nishiyama.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1495 Elo over the last 4 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Ruel Pañales#301 of 343 active Bantamweight fighters · 1519 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Florentino Coronel (rated 1500 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Furkatbek Yokubov (rated 1439 at the time): -32.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -77 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #300 Tarcísio Romano, 1 ahead of #302 Kaique Modesto.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

52%Flobater Fares48%Ruel Pañales

Model favoriteFlobater Fares

Elo baseline60% for Flobater Fares

Matchup adjustment-8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Flobater FaresStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Flobater Fares leads the full model at 52%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 9 points.

Current Elo ratings1593 · 1519Flobater Fares leads by 74 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1495 · 1528Ruel Pañales faced the stronger recent schedule (4 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth4 · 11 fightsRuel Pañales has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Flobater FaresNow 1593 · #214 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1612

Loses by decision-29→ 1564

Ruel PañalesNow 1519 · #301 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1538

Loses by decision-13→ 1506

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Flobater FaresvsRuel Pañales

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Flobater FaresKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Ruel PañalesKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

Ridouan ErramiFlobater Fares: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 27, 2026Ruel Pañales: loss · TKO (Submission to Punches) · May 9, 2026

Tale of the tape

Flobater FaresRuel Pañales

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

2Wins by knockout4

0Wins by submission2

2Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision3

Flobater Fares vs Ruel Pañales is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UAE WARRIORS 74 : OLIVEIRA VS ABDUEVA. Flobater Fares enters with a 4-0-0 record and Ruel Pañales enters with a 6-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.