UFC FIGHT NIGHT : STRICKLAND VS HERNANDEZ

Geoff Neal vs Kevin Holland

Feb 21, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

DateFeb 21, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueToyota Center

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, February 21, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 5:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 2:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Geoff NealHandz of Steel |16-8-0Geoff Neal vs Kevin HollandKevin HollandTrailblazer |29-15-0

Geoff NealHandz of Steel16-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

16-8-0Record29-15-0

36Age33

5'11"Height6'3"

75"Reach81"

170 lbsWeight185 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Kevin HollandTrailblazer29-15-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kevin Holland owns a 43-point Elo edge (good). Kevin Holland shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Geoff Neal and Kevin Holland across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Geoff NealKevin Holland

Recent form

Geoff NealL L W L L · -46 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Kevin HollandW L L W W · +16 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Geoff Neal1693-21 last move

Kevin Holland1736+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Geoff Neal#79 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rafael dos Anjos (rated 1728 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Uros Medic (rated 1687 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -46 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #78 Punahele Soriano, 2 ahead of #80 Levan Chokheli.

Kevin Holland#36 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1736 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Vicente Luque (rated 1736 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Roman Dolidze (rated 1725 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +16 Elo in total.
Next places: 6 points behind #35 Randy Brown, 2 ahead of #37 Saygid Izagakhmaev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Geoff NealNow 1693 · #79 Welterweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1711

Loses by decision-14→ 1679

Kevin HollandNow 1736 · #36 Welterweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1747

Loses by decision-13→ 1723

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Geoff NealvsKevin Holland

Submission average

0.11vs0.60

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.50vs3.21

Takedown defense

88%vs58%

Takedown average

0.54vs0.79

Finishing profile

Geoff NealKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Kevin HollandKO/TKO leads 48% of wins

Common opponents

Uros Medic Geoff Neal: loss · KO (punches) · Feb 21, 2026 Kevin Holland: upcoming · Nov 14, 2026

Vicente Luque Geoff Neal: win · KO (punches) · Aug 6, 2022 Kevin Holland: win · Submission (D’arce choke) · Jun 7, 2025

Santiago Ponzinibbio Geoff Neal: win · Decision (Split) · Dec 11, 2021 Kevin Holland: win · KO (punch) · Apr 8, 2023

Tale of the tape

Geoff NealKevin Holland

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.02Sig. strikes landed per min4.24

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

51Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC welterweight average : 46%

5.50Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.21

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

57Sig. strike defense50

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.54Takedown average0.79

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC welterweight average : 30%

88Takedown defense58

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.11Submission average0.60

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

10Wins by knockout14

2Wins by submission9

4Wins by decision6

3Losses by knockout2

2Losses by submission4

3Losses by decision9

Geoff Neal vs Kevin Holland is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : STRICKLAND VS HERNANDEZ. Geoff Neal enters with a 16-8-0 record and Kevin Holland enters with a 29-15-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.