Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland

Nov 14, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast65%Uros Medic35%Kevin HollandFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMadison Square Garden

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Uros MedicThe Doctor |14-3-0Uros Medic vs Kevin HollandKevin HollandTrailblazer |29-15-0

Uros MedicThe Doctor14-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

14-3-0Record29-15-0

33Age34

6'1"Height6'3"

71"Reach81"

170 lbsWeight185 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Kevin HollandTrailblazer29-15-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kevin Holland owns a 7-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Uros Medic and Kevin Holland across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Uros MedicKevin Holland

Recent form

Uros MedicW W W W L · +64 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Kevin HollandW L L W W · +16 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Uros Medic1729+21 last move

Kevin Holland1736+13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Uros Medic#49 of 384 active Welterweight fighters · 1729 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Omar Morales (rated 1619 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jalin Turner (rated 1650 at the time): -28.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +64 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #48 Kaik Brito, 5 ahead of #50 Ali Abdulkhalikov.

Kevin Holland#36 of 384 active Welterweight fighters · 1736 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Vicente Luque (rated 1736 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Roman Dolidze (rated 1725 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +16 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #35 Joaquin Buckley, 1 ahead of #37 Magomed Magomedov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

65%Uros Medic35%Kevin Holland

Model favoriteUros Medic

Elo baseline49% for Uros Medic

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Uros MedicStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Uros Medic is 65%, after Elo alone favored Kevin Holland at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1729 · 1736Kevin Holland leads by 7 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1673 · 1740Kevin Holland faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth18 · 44 fightsKevin Holland has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesUros Medic 2 · 2 Kevin HollandStrongest available gap: Submission average toward Kevin Holland.

What's at stake

Uros MedicNow 1729 · #49 Welterweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1745

Loses by decision-16→ 1713

Kevin HollandNow 1736 · #36 Welterweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1748

Loses by decision-12→ 1724

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Uros MedicvsKevin Holland

Submission average

0vs0.60

Takedown average

0.34vs0.79

Sig. strikes landed per min

5.77vs4.24

Sig. strike accuracy

61%vs50%

Finishing profile

Uros MedicKO/TKO leads 86% of wins

Kevin HollandKO/TKO leads 48% of wins

Common opponents

Daniel Rodriguez Uros Medic: win · TKO (punches) · Aug 1, 2026 Kevin Holland: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 19, 2025

Daniel Rodriguez Uros Medic: win · TKO (punches) · Aug 1, 2026 Kevin Holland: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 10, 2022

Tim Means Uros Medic: win · TKO (punches) · Apr 27, 2024 Kevin Holland: win · Submission (Brabo choke) · Jun 18, 2022

Tale of the tape

Uros MedicKevin Holland

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.77Sig. strikes landed per min4.24

UFC welterweight average : 3.65

61Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.40Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.21

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

57Sig. strike defense50

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.34Takedown average0.79

UFC welterweight average : 1.43

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC welterweight average : 30%

56Takedown defense58

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0Submission average0.60

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

12Wins by knockout14

2Wins by submission9

0Wins by decision6

1Losses by knockout2

2Losses by submission4

0Losses by decision9

Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC 334 : GANE VS HOKIT. Uros Medic enters with a 14-3-0 record and Kevin Holland enters with a 29-15-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.