Kai Kara-France vs Raulian Paiva

Feb 10, 2019 · ESPN+

DateFeb 10, 2019

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRod Laver Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, February 10, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Kai Kara-FranceDon't Blink |25-12-0Kai Kara-France vs Raulian PaivaRaulian Paiva23-6-1

Kai Kara-FranceDon't Blink25-12-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time5:00

25-12-0Record23-6-1

33Age30

5'5"Height5'8"

69″Reach69"

125 lbsWeight135 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Raulian Paiva23-6-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kai Kara-France owns a 31-point Elo edge (good). Kai Kara-France shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Kai Kara-France and Raulian Paiva across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kai Kara-FranceRaulian Paiva

Recent form

Kai Kara-FranceL W L L W · +2 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Raulian PaivaL W W D L · -29 Elo last 5

LWWDL

Elo edge

Kai Kara-France1679-9 last move

Raulian Paiva1648-22 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kai Kara-France#41 of 206 active Flyweight fighters · 1679 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Steve Erceg (rated 1713 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Brandon Moreno (rated 1692 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, +2 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #40 Jarred Brooks, 1 ahead of #42 Takaya Suzuki.

Raulian Paiva#154 of 336 active Bantamweight fighters · 1648 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mark De La Rosa (rated 1651 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ruslan Sariev (rated 1537 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, -29 Elo in total.
Next places: 4 points behind #153 Peter Danesoe, 0 ahead of #155 Murad Kalamov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Kai Kara-FranceNow 1679 · #41 Flyweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1690

Loses by decision-13→ 1666

Raulian PaivaNow 1648 · #154 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1665

Loses by decision-15→ 1633

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kai Kara-FrancevsRaulian Paiva

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.22vs5.01

Takedown accuracy

33%vs24%

Sig. strike defense

65%vs49%

Submission average

0vs0.16

Finishing profile

Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKO leads 48% of wins

Raulian Paivadecision leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

Amir Albazi Kai Kara-France: loss · Decision (Split) · Jun 3, 2023Raulian Paiva: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 31, 2020

Mark De La RosaKai Kara-France: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Aug 31, 2019Raulian Paiva: win · KO (punches) · Feb 15, 2020

Rogério BontorinKai Kara-France: win · KO (punches) · Mar 6, 2021Raulian Paiva: loss · TKO (Doctor Stoppage (Cut)) · Aug 10, 2019

Tale of the tape

Kai Kara-FranceRaulian Paiva

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.56Sig. strikes landed per min4.14

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

40Sig. strike accuracy43

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.22Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.01

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

65Sig. strike defense49

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.61Takedown average0.65

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

33Takedown accuracy24

UFC flyweight average : 26%

88Takedown defense77

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0Submission average0.16

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

12Wins by knockout4

3Wins by submission3

10Wins by decision16

3Losses by knockout2

4Losses by submission1

5Losses by decision3

Kai Kara-France vs Raulian Paiva is a scheduled Flyweight fight on UFC 234 : ADESANYA VS SILVA. Kai Kara-France enters with a 25-12-0 record and Raulian Paiva enters with a 23-6-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.