Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal

Dec 12, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast43%Joe Pyfer57%Bo NickalFull forecast and your pick

DateDec 12, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 12, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Joe PyferBodybagz |16-3-0Joe Pyfer vs Bo NickalBo Nickal9-1-0

Joe PyferBodybagz16-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

16-3-0Record9-1-0

30Age30

6'1"Height6'1"

75"Reach76"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Bo Nickal9-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Joe Pyfer owns a 18-point Elo edge (great). Bo Nickal shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Joe Pyfer and Bo Nickal across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Joe PyferBo Nickal

Recent form

Joe PyferW W W W W · +86 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Bo NickalW W L W W · +56 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Elo edge

Joe Pyfer1763+21 last move

Bo Nickal1745+20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Joe Pyfer#15 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1763 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Gerald Meerschaert (rated 1716 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jack Hermansson (rated 1755 at the time): -13.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +86 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #14 Christian Leroy Duncan, 2 ahead of #16 Israel Adesanya.

Bo Nickal#21 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1745 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Donovan Beard (rated 1627 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Reinier de Ridder (rated 1761 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +56 Elo in total.
Next places: 7 points behind #20 Costello van Steenis, 2 ahead of #22 Ali Bagov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

43%Joe Pyfer57%Bo Nickal

Model favoriteBo Nickal

Elo baseline47% for Bo Nickal

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Bo NickalStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Bo Nickal is 57%, after Elo alone favored Joe Pyfer at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1763 · 1745Joe Pyfer leads by 18 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1675 · 1635Joe Pyfer faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth20 · 12 fightsJoe Pyfer has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJoe Pyfer 0 · 4 Bo NickalStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Bo Nickal.

What's at stake

Joe PyferNow 1763 · #15 Middleweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1778

Loses by decision-17→ 1746

Bo NickalNow 1745 · #21 Middleweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1762

Loses by decision-15→ 1730

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Joe PyfervsBo Nickal

Takedown accuracy

0%vs5%

Submission average

0.91vs2.27

Takedown average

1.45vs3.12

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.22vs1.93

Finishing profile

Joe PyferKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Bo NickalKO/TKO leads 44% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Joe PyferBo Nickal

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.52Sig. strikes landed per min3.36

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

44Sig. strike accuracy62

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.22Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.93

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

53Sig. strike defense60

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.45Takedown average3.12

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

0Takedown accuracy5

UFC middleweight average : 30%

63Takedown defense100

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0.91Submission average2.27

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

10Wins by knockout4

4Wins by submission4

2Wins by decision1

1Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC 335 : OLIVEIRA VS LOPES. Joe Pyfer enters with a 16-3-0 record and Bo Nickal enters with a 9-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.