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RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN

Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan

Nov 14, 2026 · Fox Nation
Combat Edge model forecast13%Kyle Frederick Snyder87%Shamil ErdoganFull forecast and your pick
DateNov 14, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueEtihad Arena
BroadcastFox Nation
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on Fox Nation.

US East (ET)
Sat 11:00 AM
US West (PT)
Sat 8:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 4:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 5:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 3:00 AM
Kyle Frederick Snyder0-0-0Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil ErdoganShamil Erdogan13-0-0
usKyle Frederick Snyder0-0-0Kyle Frederick Snyderus

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
0-0-0Record13-0-0
30Age36
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach79"
215 lbsWeight205 lbs
Light Heavyweight ChampionshipWeight ClassLight Heavyweight Championship
trShamil Erdogan13-0-0trShamil Erdogan
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kyle Frederick Snyder and Shamil Erdogan across their careers →

Recent form

Kyle Frederick SnyderNo counted pro MMA fights yet
No recent Elo history
Shamil ErdoganW W W W W · +63 Elo last 5
WWWWW

Elo edge

Kyle Frederick SnyderTBDTBD last move
Shamil Erdogan1752+12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Shamil Erdogan#21 of 188 active Heavyweight fighters · 1752 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Leonardo Silva (rated 1626 at the time): +30.
Last 5 fights
5 wins, 0 losses, +63 Elo in total.
Next places
2 points behind #20 Valter Walker, 2 ahead of #22 Stipe Miocic.
Opposition
Opponents averaged 1545 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04
13%Kyle Frederick Snyder87%Shamil Erdogan
Model favoriteShamil Erdogan
Elo baseline81% for Shamil Erdogan
Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Shamil Erdogan leads the full model at 87%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.
Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.
Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Kyle Frederick SnyderNow 1500
Wins by decision+39→ 1539
Loses by decision-9→ 1491
Shamil ErdoganNow 1752 · #21 Heavyweight
Wins by decision+6→ 1758
Loses by decision-26→ 1726
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kyle Frederick SnydervsShamil Erdogan

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kyle Frederick SnyderNo tracked pro wins
Shamil ErdoganKO/TKO leads 62% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kyle Frederick SnyderShamil Erdogan

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.71
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 51%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 1.46
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 26%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 58%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59
0Wins by knockout8
0Wins by submission2
0Wins by decision4
0Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision0

Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan is a scheduled Light Heavyweight Championship fight on RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN. Kyle Frederick Snyder enters with a 0-0-0 record and Shamil Erdogan enters with a 13-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan quick answers

When is Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan?

Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan is listed for RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN on Nov 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST.

What event is Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan on?

Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan is listed on RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN.

What are the records for Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan?

Kyle Frederick Snyder enters with a 0-0-0 record and Shamil Erdogan enters with a 13-0-0 record.

What division is Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan?

Kyle Frederick Snyder vs Shamil Erdogan is listed as a Light Heavyweight Championship fight.

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