Murtaza Talha Ali vs Osama Elsaidy

Nov 14, 2026 · Fox Nation

Combat Edge model forecast44%Murtaza Talha Ali56%Osama ElsaidyFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight Crossover

StatusScheduled

VenueEtihad Arena

BroadcastFox Nation

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on Fox Nation.

US East (ET): Sat 11:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 8:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 4:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 5:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Murtaza Talha Ali7-2-0Murtaza Talha Ali vs Osama ElsaidyOsama Elsaidy9-4-0

Murtaza Talha Ali7-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-2-0Record9-4-0

30Age28

6'0"Height6'0"

TBDReachTBD

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light Heavyweight CrossoverWeight ClassLight Heavyweight Crossover

Osama Elsaidy9-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Murtaza Talha Ali owns a 14-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Murtaza Talha Ali and Osama Elsaidy across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Murtaza Talha AliOsama Elsaidy

Recent form

Murtaza Talha AliL W L W W · +6 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Osama ElsaidyL W L W L · -43 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Elo edge

Murtaza Talha Ali1607-25 last move

Osama Elsaidy1593-20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Murtaza Talha Ali#103 of 185 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1607 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Vadim Litvin (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Rodolfo Bellato (rated 1636 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +6 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #102 Artur Astakhov, 1 ahead of #104 Mirza Hopovac.

Osama Elsaidy#115 of 185 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1593 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda (rated 1587 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Sami Antar (rated 1500 at the time): -40.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -43 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #114 Christian Edwards, 0 ahead of #116 Tuco Tokkos.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

44%Murtaza Talha Ali56%Osama Elsaidy

Model favoriteOsama Elsaidy

Elo baseline48% for Osama Elsaidy

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Osama ElsaidyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Osama Elsaidy is 56%, after Elo alone favored Murtaza Talha Ali at 52%.

Current Elo ratings1607 · 1593Murtaza Talha Ali leads by 14 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1536 · 1538Osama Elsaidy faced the stronger recent schedule (9 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth9 · 13 fightsOsama Elsaidy has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Murtaza Talha AliNow 1607 · #103 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1630

Loses by decision-25→ 1582

Osama ElsaidyNow 1593 · #115 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1610

Loses by decision-15→ 1578

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Murtaza Talha AlivsOsama Elsaidy

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Murtaza Talha AliKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Osama ElsaidyKO/TKO leads 56% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Murtaza Talha AliOsama Elsaidy

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.29Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

58Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

7.09Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.71

32Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0Takedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.46

0Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

100Takedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0Submission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

4Wins by knockout5

3Wins by submission3

0Wins by decision1

2Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

0Losses by decision1

Murtaza Talha Ali vs Osama Elsaidy is a scheduled Light Heavyweight Crossover fight on RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN. Murtaza Talha Ali enters with a 7-2-0 record and Osama Elsaidy enters with a 9-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.