UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek

EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS
DateSep 26, 2026
DivisionMiddleweight
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe
Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 8:00 AM

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS . Rodolfo Vieira enters with a 11-5-0 record and Robert Bryczek enters with a 18-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek quick answers

When is Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek?

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS on Sep 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST.

What event is Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek on?

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROSAS JR. VS BARCELOS .

What are the records for Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek?

Rodolfo Vieira enters with a 11-5-0 record and Robert Bryczek enters with a 18-7-0 record.

What division is Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek?

Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek is listed as a Middleweight fight.

Rodolfo VieiraThe Black Belt Hunter |11-5-0Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert BryczekRobert Bryczek18-7-0
brRodolfo VieiraThe Black Belt Hunter11-5-0Rodolfo Vieirabr

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
11-5-0Record18-7-0
36Age36
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight
plRobert Bryczek18-7-0plRobert Bryczek
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Robert Bryczek owns a 14-point Elo edge (good). Rodolfo Vieira shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Rodolfo Vieira and Robert Bryczek across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rodolfo VieiraRobert Bryczek
16501700202420252026

Recent form

Rodolfo VieiraL L W L W · -20 Elo last 5
LLWLW
Robert BryczekL W L W W · +18 Elo last 5
LWLWW

Elo edge

Rodolfo Vieira1647-18 last move
Robert Bryczek1661-15 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
58%Rodolfo Vieira42%Robert Bryczek
Model favoriteRodolfo Vieira
Elo baseline48% for Rodolfo Vieira
Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Rodolfo Vieira is 58%, after Elo alone favored Robert Bryczek at 52%.

Current Elo ratings1647 · 1661Robert Bryczek leads by 14 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1640 · 1579Rodolfo Vieira faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth16 · 23 fightsRobert Bryczek has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesRodolfo Vieira 4 · 0 Robert BryczekStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Rodolfo Vieira.

Stat advantages

Rodolfo VieiravsRobert Bryczek
Takedown accuracy
3%vs0%
Takedown average
2.87vs0.36
Submission average
0.91vs0.36
Sig. strike accuracy
54%vs38%

Finishing profile

Rodolfo Vieirasubmission leads 82% of wins
Robert BryczekKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

Jacob MalkounRodolfo Vieira: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 15, 2025Robert Bryczek: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 23, 2023

Tale of the tape

Rodolfo VieiraRobert Bryczek
3.43Sig. strikes landed per min2.80
UFC middleweight average : 3.80
54Sig. strike accuracy38
UFC middleweight average : 48%
4.28Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.51
UFC middleweight average : 3.81
49Sig. strike defense55
UFC middleweight average : 52%
2.87Takedown average0.36
UFC middleweight average : 1.71
3Takedown accuracy0
UFC middleweight average : 35%
60Takedown defense71
UFC middleweight average : 58%
0.91Submission average0.36
UFC middleweight average : 0.64
1Wins by knockout12
9Wins by submission1
1Wins by decision5
1Losses by knockout1
1Losses by submission1
3Losses by decision5

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