Turpal Younousov vs Mikail Bayram

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast59%Turpal Younousov41%Mikail BayramFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith Paris La Villette

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Turpal YounousovFlawless |5-1-0Turpal Younousov vs Mikail BayramMikail Bayram8-3-0

Turpal YounousovFlawless5-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-1-0Record8-3-0

31AgeTBD

TBDHeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

155 lbsWeight170 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Mikail Bayram8-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Turpal Younousov owns a 20-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Turpal Younousov and Mikail Bayram across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Turpal YounousovMikail Bayram

Recent form

Turpal YounousovW L W W W · +65 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Mikail BayramW W L W L · -15 Elo last 5

WWLWL

Elo edge

Turpal Younousov1595+19 last move

Mikail Bayram1575+11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Turpal Younousov#271 of 433 active Lightweight fighters · 1595 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Raphael Ngoma (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Axel Sola (rated 1637 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +65 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #270 Ayinda Octave, 0 ahead of #272 Viacheslav Borshchev.

Mikail Bayram#238 of 358 active Welterweight fighters · 1575 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Adel Asloum (rated 1500 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Khotam Boynazarov (rated 1500 at the time): -35.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -15 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #237 Khanbulat Irisbiev, 1 ahead of #239 Orlando Sanders.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

59%Turpal Younousov41%Mikail Bayram

Model favoriteTurpal Younousov

Elo baseline53% for Turpal Younousov

Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Turpal YounousovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Turpal Younousov leads the full model at 59%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1595 · 1575Turpal Younousov leads by 20 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1523 · 1505Turpal Younousov faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 11 fightsMikail Bayram has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Turpal YounousovNow 1595 · #271 Lightweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1618

Loses by decision-25→ 1570

Mikail BayramNow 1575 · #238 Welterweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1592

Loses by decision-15→ 1560

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Turpal YounousovvsMikail Bayram

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Turpal Younousovsubmission leads 60% of wins

Mikail Bayramdecision leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Turpal YounousovMikail Bayram

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

1Wins by knockout2

3Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision6

1Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

0Losses by decision0

Turpal Younousov vs Mikail Bayram is a scheduled Lightweight fight on HEXAGONE MMA 48 : SIMA VS GOI. Turpal Younousov enters with a 5-1-0 record and Mikail Bayram enters with a 8-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.