Islam Makhachev29-1-0
Ian Machado Garry17-2-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Islam Makhachev won
50%Islam Makhachev50%Ian Machado Garry
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry (August 15, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
12Total bouts
12Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
2Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 12 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Mackenzie Dern17-5-0
Gillian Robertson17-9-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Mackenzie Dern won
40%Mackenzie Dern60%Gillian Robertson
Jalin Turner16-9-0
Kauê Fernandes11-3-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Jalin Turner won
40%Jalin Turner60%Kauê Fernandes
Mansur Abdul-Malik9-2-1
Dustin Stoltzfus17-8-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Dustin Stoltzfus won
86%Mansur Abdul-Malik14%Dustin Stoltzfus
Edson Barboza24-15-0
Esteban Ribovics17-3-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Esteban Ribovics won
23%Edson Barboza77%Esteban Ribovics
Prelims
Prelims predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Chidi Njokuani26-12-0
Joel Alvarez23-5-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Chidi Njokuani won
34%Chidi Njokuani66%Joel Alvarez
Charles Johnson20-9-0
Eduardo Henrique15-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Charles Johnson won
60%Charles Johnson40%Eduardo Henrique
Donte Johnson9-0-0
Eric McConico11-5-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Donte Johnson won
75%Donte Johnson25%Eric McConico
Vicente Luque24-13-1
Tresean Gore7-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Tresean Gore won
60%Vicente Luque40%Tresean Gore
Early prelims
Early prelims predictions
3 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Rafael Tobias14-3-0
Lucas Fernando14-3-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Lucas Fernando won
50%Rafael Tobias50%Lucas Fernando
Neil Magny32-14-0
Ramiz Brahimaj13-7-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Neil Magny won
55%Neil Magny45%Ramiz Brahimaj
Jeremiah Wells14-4-1
Myktybek Orolbai16-3-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Jeremiah Wells won
24%Jeremiah Wells76%Myktybek Orolbai