Dricus Du Plessis24-3-0
Kamaru Usman21-5-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Dricus Du Plessis won
56%Dricus Du Plessis44%Kamaru Usman
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC FIGHT NIGHT : DU PLESSIS VS USMAN predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : DU PLESSIS VS USMAN (July 18, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
12Total bouts
12Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
2Model / Elo splits
2Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 12 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Jared Cannonier18-10-0
Christian Leroy Duncan15-2-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Christian Leroy Duncan won
12%Jared Cannonier88%Christian Leroy Duncan
Chase Hooper17-5-1
Mitch Ramirez8-4-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Chase Hooper won
84%Chase Hooper16%Mitch Ramirez
Tabatha Ricci12-5-0
Fatima Kline10-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Fatima Kline won
30%Tabatha Ricci70%Fatima Kline
Tommy McMillen12-0-0
Alberto Montes12-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Tommy McMillen won
63%Tommy McMillen37%Alberto Montes
Prelims
Prelims predictions
7 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Austin Bashi14-2-0
Jose Delgado12-3-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Jose Delgado won
43%Austin Bashi57%Jose Delgado
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani11-2-0
Seok Hyeon Ko13-3-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won
50%Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani50%Seok Hyeon Ko
Levi Rodrigues Jr.5-2-0
Felipe Franco11-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Felipe Franco won
34%Levi Rodrigues Jr.66%Felipe Franco
Ezra Elliott8-0-0
Damien Anderson5-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Ezra Elliott won
60%Ezra Elliott40%Damien Anderson
Alden Coria13-3-0
Stewart Nicoll8-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Alden Coria won
70%Alden Coria30%Stewart Nicoll
RJ Harris6-0-0
Alvin Hines7-2-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · RJ Harris won
63%RJ Harris37%Alvin Hines
Anna Melisano6-2-0
Dione Barbosa10-4-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Dione Barbosa won
50%Anna Melisano50%Dione Barbosa