Aboubakar Younousov vs Tyson Nam

Oct 31, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast83%Aboubakar Younousov17%Tyson NamFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionAFC Bantamweight Championship

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith de Strasbourg

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 2:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Aboubakar YounousovThorin |8-0-0Aboubakar Younousov vs Tyson NamTyson Nam23-16-1

Aboubakar YounousovThorin8-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

8-0-0Record23-16-1

26Age43

5'6"Height5'7"

TBDReach68"

135 lbsWeight125 lbs

AFC Bantamweight ChampionshipWeight ClassAFC Bantamweight Championship

Tyson Nam23-16-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Aboubakar Younousov owns a 87-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Aboubakar Younousov and Tyson Nam across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Aboubakar YounousovTyson Nam

Recent form

Aboubakar YounousovW W W W W · +112 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Tyson NamL L W W L · -21 Elo last 5

LLWWL

Elo edge

Aboubakar Younousov1689+27 last move

Tyson Nam1602-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Aboubakar Younousov#67 of 369 active Bantamweight fighters · 1689 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Moustapha Aida (rated 1564 at the time): +28.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +112 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #66 Michael McDonald, 0 ahead of #68 Da'Mon Blackshear.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1537 Elo over the last 8 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Tyson Nam#110 of 222 active Flyweight fighters · 1602 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ode Osbourne (rated 1639 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tuomas Grönvall (rated 1435 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -21 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #109 Karen Ghazaryan, 1 ahead of #111 Aiden Ingram.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

83%Aboubakar Younousov17%Tyson Nam

Model favoriteAboubakar Younousov

Elo baseline62% for Aboubakar Younousov

Matchup adjustment+21 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Aboubakar YounousovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Aboubakar Younousov leads the full model at 83%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 21 points.

Current Elo ratings1689 · 1602Aboubakar Younousov leads by 87 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1537 · 1583Tyson Nam faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 39 fightsTyson Nam has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Aboubakar YounousovNow 1689 · #67 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1707

Loses by decision-30→ 1659

Tyson NamNow 1602 · #110 Flyweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1617

Loses by decision-9→ 1593

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Aboubakar YounousovvsTyson Nam

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Aboubakar YounousovKO/TKO leads 38% of wins

Tyson NamKO/TKO leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Aboubakar YounousovTyson Nam

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min3.87

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracy34

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min4.97

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defense65

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown average0

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracy0

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defense88

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission average0

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

3Wins by knockout15

2Wins by submission1

3Wins by decision7

0Losses by knockout4

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision11

Aboubakar Younousov vs Tyson Nam is a scheduled AFC Bantamweight Championship fight on ARES FC 44 : YOUNOUSOV VS NAM. Aboubakar Younousov enters with a 8-0-0 record and Tyson Nam enters with a 23-16-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.