Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf vs Daniel Rodrigues

Oct 31, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast63%Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf37%Daniel RodriguesFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith de Strasbourg

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 2:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf3-0-0Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf vs Daniel RodriguesDaniel RodriguesLeao |2-1-0

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record2-1-0

31Age25

6'3"Height6'1"

-ReachTBD

185 lbsWeight145 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Daniel RodriguesLeao2-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf owns a 79-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf and Daniel Rodrigues across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufDaniel Rodrigues

Recent form

Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufW W W · +79 Elo last 3

WWW

Daniel RodriguesW L W L · 0 Elo last 4

WLWL

Elo edge

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf1579+24 last move

Daniel Rodrigues1500+31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf#187 of 282 active Middleweight fighters · 1579 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Tomy Blanco (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +79 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #186 Emile Vujakovic, 3 ahead of #188 Dillon Danis.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 3 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Daniel Rodrigues#390 of 422 active Featherweight fighters · 1500 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jilvan de Jesus (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Lucas Rodrigues (rated 1447 at the time): -33.
Last 4 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, 0 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #389 Aron Franz Kristjansson, 0 ahead of #391 Hyuga Miyagawa.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

63%Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf37%Daniel Rodrigues

Model favoriteBilal Bakhouche-Chareuf

Elo baseline61% for Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf leads the full model at 63%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1579 · 1500Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf leads by 79 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1487Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 4 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 4 fightsDaniel Rodrigues has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufNow 1579 · #187 Middleweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1598

Loses by decision-29→ 1550

Daniel RodriguesNow 1500 · #390 Featherweight

Wins by decision+29→ 1529

Loses by decision-19→ 1481

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufvsDaniel Rodrigues

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Daniel RodriguesKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Bilal Bakhouche-ChareufDaniel Rodrigues

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

3Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision0

Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf vs Daniel Rodrigues is a scheduled Welterweight fight on ARES FC 44 : YOUNOUSOV VS NAM. Bilal Bakhouche-Chareuf enters with a 3-0-0 record and Daniel Rodrigues enters with a 2-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.