Lasha Gogishvili vs Alexandre Carole

Oct 31, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast57%Lasha Gogishvili43%Alexandre CaroleFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith de Strasbourg

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 2:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Lasha GogishviliGeorgian Alpha |4-1-0Lasha Gogishvili vs Alexandre CaroleAlexandre Carole4-3-0

Lasha GogishviliGeorgian Alpha4-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

4-1-0Record4-3-0

TBDAgeTBD

TBDHeight5'8"

-ReachTBD

135 lbsWeight136 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Alexandre Carole4-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Lasha Gogishvili owns a 46-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Lasha Gogishvili and Alexandre Carole across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Lasha GogishviliAlexandre Carole

Recent form

Lasha GogishviliW W W L · +64 Elo last 4

WWWL

Alexandre CaroleL W W L W · +23 Elo last 5

LWWLW

Elo edge

Lasha Gogishvili1563+26 last move

Alexandre Carole1517-28 last move

Why they are ranked here

Lasha Gogishvili#267 of 369 active Bantamweight fighters · 1563 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Amine Jmel (rated 1529 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Sanan Safarli (rated 1500 at the time): -24.
Last 4 fights: 3 wins, 1 loss, +64 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #266 Geun Ho Son, 1 ahead of #268 Dominique Wooding.

Alexandre Carole#323 of 369 active Bantamweight fighters · 1517 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Olivier Laude (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Mossab El Marzkioui (rated 1500 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #322 Tarcísio Romano, 5 ahead of #324 Teruto Ishihara.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

57%Lasha Gogishvili43%Alexandre Carole

Model favoriteLasha Gogishvili

Elo baseline57% for Lasha Gogishvili

Matchup adjustment0 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Lasha GogishviliStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Lasha Gogishvili leads the full model at 57%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1563 · 1517Lasha Gogishvili leads by 46 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1507 · 1510Alexandre Carole faced the stronger recent schedule (4 vs 7 sampled fights).

Elo record depth4 · 7 fightsAlexandre Carole has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Lasha GogishviliNow 1563 · #267 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+21→ 1584

Loses by decision-27→ 1536

Alexandre CaroleNow 1517 · #323 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+27→ 1544

Loses by decision-21→ 1496

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Lasha GogishvilivsAlexandre Carole

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Lasha GogishviliKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Alexandre Carolesubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Lasha GogishviliAlexandre Carole

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

3Wins by knockout0

1Wins by submission2

0Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision0

Lasha Gogishvili vs Alexandre Carole is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on ARES FC 44 : YOUNOUSOV VS NAM. Lasha Gogishvili enters with a 4-1-0 record and Alexandre Carole enters with a 4-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.