Andrii Misiuk vs Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden

Oct 31, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast66%Andrii Misiuk34%Phruethukorn ChaichongchardenFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith de Strasbourg

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 2:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Andrii Misiuk6-0-0Andrii Misiuk vs Phruethukorn ChaichongchardenPhruethukorn ChaichongchardenTitle Chai / The Majin |4-4-1

Andrii Misiuk6-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

6-0-0Record4-4-1

TBDAge32

5'10"Height5'9"

-Reach-

145 lbsWeight161 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Phruethukorn ChaichongchardenTitle Chai / The Majin4-4-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Andrii Misiuk owns a 138-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Andrii Misiuk and Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Andrii MisiukPhruethukorn Chaichongcharden

Recent form

Andrii MisiukW W W W W · +108 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Phruethukorn ChaichongchardenL D W L L · -42 Elo last 5

LDWLL

Elo edge

Andrii Misiuk1637+21 last move

Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden1499-25 last move

Why they are ranked here

Andrii Misiuk#178 of 422 active Featherweight fighters · 1637 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Adrian Hamerski (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +108 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #177 Taner Trembley, 0 ahead of #179 Lucas Ganin.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1506 Elo over the last 6 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden#344 of 376 active Welterweight fighters · 1499 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jean Do Santos (rated 1645 at the time): +34.
Costliest loss: Lost to Carlos Alvarez (rated 1500 at the time): -32.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 3 losses, -42 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #343 Karim Labdou, 1 ahead of #345 Taylor Michels.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

66%Andrii Misiuk34%Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden

Model favoriteAndrii Misiuk

Elo baseline69% for Andrii Misiuk

Matchup adjustment-3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Andrii MisiukStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Andrii Misiuk leads the full model at 66%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1637 · 1499Andrii Misiuk leads by 138 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1506 · 1511Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth6 · 9 fightsPhruethukorn Chaichongcharden has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Andrii MisiukNow 1637 · #178 Featherweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1652

Loses by decision-33→ 1604

Phruethukorn ChaichongchardenNow 1499 · #344 Welterweight

Wins by decision+33→ 1532

Loses by decision-15→ 1484

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Andrii MisiukvsPhruethukorn Chaichongcharden

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Andrii MisiukKO/TKO leads 33% of wins

Phruethukorn Chaichongchardendecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Andrii MisiukPhruethukorn Chaichongcharden

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.90

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

2Wins by knockout1

2Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision2

Andrii Misiuk vs Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden is a scheduled Lightweight fight on ARES FC 44 : YOUNOUSOV VS NAM. Andrii Misiuk enters with a 6-0-0 record and Phruethukorn Chaichongcharden enters with a 4-4-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.