Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira

DateJun 20, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 20, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Andre FiliTouchy |25-14-0Andre Fili vs Vinicius OliveiraVinicius OliveiraLokDog |24-4-0

Andre FiliTouchy25-14-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

25-14-0Record24-4-0

36Age30

5'10"Height5'9"

74"Reach70"

145 lbsWeight135 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Vinicius OliveiraLokDog24-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Vinicius Oliveira owns a 109-point Elo edge (good). Vinicius Oliveira shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Andre Fili and Vinicius Oliveira across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Andre FiliVinicius Oliveira

Recent form

Andre FiliL L W L W · -12 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Vinicius OliveiraW L W W W · +51 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Andre Fili1634-11 last move

Vinicius Oliveira1743+15 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v3-2026-06-10

23%Andre Fili77%Vinicius Oliveira

Model favoriteVinicius Oliveira

Elo baseline61% for Vinicius Oliveira

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Vinicius OliveiraStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Vinicius Oliveira leads the full model at 77%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 16 points.

Current Elo ratings1634 · 1743Vinicius Oliveira leads by 109 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1692 · 1658Andre Fili faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth33 · 23 fightsAndre Fili has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesAndre Fili 1 · 3 Vinicius OliveiraStrongest available gap: Sig. strikes absorbed per min toward Vinicius Oliveira.

Stat advantages

Andre FilivsVinicius Oliveira

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.34vs2.70

Takedown average

2.32vs1.45

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.88vs4.73

Sig. strike accuracy

38%vs44%

Finishing profile

Andre Filidecision leads 48% of wins

Vinicius OliveiraKO/TKO leads 71% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Andre FiliVinicius Oliveira

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.88Sig. strikes landed per min4.73

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

38Sig. strike accuracy44

UFC featherweight average : 46%

4.34Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.70

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

51Sig. strike defense57

UFC featherweight average : 54%

2.32Takedown average1.45

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

47Takedown accuracy47

UFC featherweight average : 31%

72Takedown defense70

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.22Submission average0.21

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

10Wins by knockout17

3Wins by submission2

12Wins by decision5

5Losses by knockout3

3Losses by submission1

6Losses by decision0

Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : KAPE VS HORIGUCHI. Andre Fili enters with a 25-14-0 record and Vinicius Oliveira enters with a 24-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.