Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz

Oct 4, 2025 · PPV

DateOct 4, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 4, 2025 — watch on PPV.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Ateba GautierThe Silent Assassin |11-2-0Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy DiazOzzy DiazOzzy |10-5-0

Ateba GautierThe Silent Assassin11-2-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

11-2-0Record10-5-0

24Age35

6'4"Height6'4"

81"Reach79"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Ozzy DiazOzzy10-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ateba Gautier owns a 88-point Elo edge (good). Ateba Gautier shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ateba Gautier and Ozzy Diaz across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ateba GautierOzzy Diaz

Recent form

Ateba GautierL W W W W · +58 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Ozzy DiazL L W L W · -19 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Ateba Gautier1700-20 last move

Ozzy Diaz1612-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ateba Gautier#56 of 254 active Middleweight fighters · 1700 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Yu-Joe Lewis Lai (rated 1500 at the time): +27.
Costliest loss: Lost to Roman Kopylov (rated 1697 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +58 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #55 Nikolay Aleksakhin, 1 ahead of #57 Brad Tavares.

Ozzy Diaz#142 of 254 active Middleweight fighters · 1612 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Bruno Assis (rated 1607 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Joe Pyfer (rated 1611 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -19 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #141 Zayne Havener, 0 ahead of #143 Shadid Abdurazakov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Ateba GautierNow 1700 · #56 Middleweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1712

Loses by decision-20→ 1680

Ozzy DiazNow 1612 · #142 Middleweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1632

Loses by decision-12→ 1600

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ateba GautiervsOzzy Diaz

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.60vs6.52

Takedown defense

94%vs50%

Takedown average

0.41vs0

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.32vs5.33

Finishing profile

Ateba GautierKO/TKO leads 82% of wins

Ozzy DiazKO/TKO leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ateba GautierOzzy Diaz

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.32Sig. strikes landed per min5.33

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

44Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC middleweight average : 48%

2.60Sig. strikes absorbed per min6.52

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

54Sig. strike defense61

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.41Takedown average0

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 30%

94Takedown defense50

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0Submission average0

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

9Wins by knockout7

0Wins by submission2

2Wins by decision1

1Losses by knockout5

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision0

Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 320 : ANKALAEV VS PEREIRA 2. Ateba Gautier enters with a 11-2-0 record and Ozzy Diaz enters with a 10-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.