Cortney Casey vs Cynthia Calvillo

Feb 18, 2019 · ESPN+

DateFeb 18, 2019

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueFootprint Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Monday, February 18, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Mon 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Mon 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Tue 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Tue 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Tue 12:00 PM
Your time

Cortney CaseyCast Iron |10-10-0Cortney Casey vs Cynthia CalvilloCynthia Calvillo10-6-1

Cortney CaseyCast Iron10-10-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time5:00

10-10-0Record10-6-1

39Age39

5'6"Height5'4"

67"Reach64"

125 lbsWeight119 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Cynthia Calvillo10-6-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo owns a 18-point Elo edge (solid). Cynthia Calvillo shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Cortney Casey and Cynthia Calvillo across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cortney CaseyCynthia Calvillo

Recent form

Cortney CaseyL W L L W · -9 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Cynthia CalvilloW L L L L · -45 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Elo edge

Cortney Casey1570-12 last move

Cynthia Calvillo1588+18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Cortney CaseyNot on the active ladder · 1570 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mara Romero Borella (rated 1565 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Gillian Robertson (rated 1586 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -9 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1480, not 1570: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Cynthia CalvilloNot on the active ladder · 1588 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Lisa Kyriacou (rated 1604 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Andrea Lee (rated 1645 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -45 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1567, not 1588: 21 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Cortney CaseyNow 1570

Wins by decision+17→ 1587

Loses by decision-15→ 1555

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1588

Wins by decision+15→ 1603

Loses by decision-17→ 1571

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Cortney CaseyvsCynthia Calvillo

Takedown average

0.39vs1.80

Takedown defense

40%vs78%

Submission average

0.47vs0.81

Takedown accuracy

31%vs44%

Finishing profile

Cortney Caseysubmission leads 40% of wins

Cynthia Calvillodecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Antonina Shevchenko Cortney Casey: loss · Decision (Split) · Jul 9, 2022Cynthia Calvillo: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Apr 25, 2020

Cláudia GadelhaCortney Casey: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Nov 19, 2016Cynthia Calvillo: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Dec 7, 2019

Joanne Wood Cortney Casey: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 18, 2015 Cynthia Calvillo: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jul 16, 2017

Tale of the tape

Cortney CaseyCynthia Calvillo

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.29Sig. strikes landed per min4.41

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

39Sig. strike accuracy38

UFC flyweight average : 44%

4Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.12

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

55Sig. strike defense64

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.39Takedown average1.80

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

31Takedown accuracy44

UFC flyweight average : 26%

40Takedown defense78

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.47Submission average0.81

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

3Wins by knockout2

4Wins by submission3

3Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout2

2Losses by submission0

8Losses by decision4

Cortney Casey vs Cynthia Calvillo is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : NGANNOU VS VELASQUEZ. Cortney Casey enters with a 10-10-0 record and Cynthia Calvillo enters with a 10-6-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.