Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Andrea Lee

Feb 18, 2019 · ESPN+

DateFeb 18, 2019

DivisionWomen's Flyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueFootprint Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Monday, February 18, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Mon 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Mon 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Tue 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Tue 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Tue 12:00 PM
Your time

Ashlee Evans-SmithRebel Girl |6-6-0Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Andrea LeeAndrea LeeKGB |13-11-0

Ashlee Evans-SmithRebel Girl6-6-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time5:00

6-6-0Record13-11-0

39Age37

5'8"Height5'6"

67,5"Reach69"

135 lbsWeight125 lbs

Women's FlyweightWeight ClassWomen's Flyweight

Andrea LeeKGB13-11-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Andrea Lee owns a 55-point Elo edge (solid). Andrea Lee shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Ashlee Evans-Smith and Andrea Lee across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ashlee Evans-SmithAndrea Lee

Recent form

Ashlee Evans-SmithL L L W L · -52 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Andrea LeeL L L L L · -69 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Elo edge

Ashlee Evans-Smith1522-13 last move

Andrea Lee1577-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ashlee Evans-SmithNot on the active ladder · 1522 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Veronica Hardy (rated 1596 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Raquel Pennington (rated 1505 at the time): -36.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -52 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1459, not 1522: 63 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Andrea Lee#53 of 80 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1577 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Antonina Shevchenko (rated 1651 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Roxanne Modafferi (rated 1576 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -69 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #52 Alexandra Tekenah, 1 ahead of #54 Melissa Gatto.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Ashlee Evans-SmithNow 1522

Wins by decision+19→ 1541

Loses by decision-13→ 1509

Andrea LeeNow 1577 · #53 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1590

Loses by decision-19→ 1558

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ashlee Evans-SmithvsAndrea Lee

Takedown accuracy

23%vs55%

Submission average

0vs0.57

Takedown average

0.95vs1.70

Sig. strike accuracy

34%vs47%

Finishing profile

Ashlee Evans-SmithKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Andrea Leesubmission leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

Antonina ShevchenkoAshlee Evans-Smith: cancelled · Nov 30, 2018Andrea Lee: win · Submission (Triangle Armbar) · May 15, 2021

Lauren MurphyAshlee Evans-Smith: cancelled · Feb 17, 2019Andrea Lee: loss · Decision (Split) · Feb 8, 2020

Veronica Hardy Ashlee Evans-Smith: win · Elbows · Sep 3, 2016 Andrea Lee: win · Decision (Unanimous) · May 19, 2018

Tale of the tape

Ashlee Evans-SmithAndrea Lee

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.03Sig. strikes landed per min4.71

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

34Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

4.59Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.83

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

54Sig. strike defense63

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

0.95Takedown average1.70

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

23Takedown accuracy55

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

50Takedown defense55

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0Submission average0.57

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

3Wins by knockout3

0Wins by submission5

3Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission1

4Losses by decision10

Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Andrea Lee is a scheduled Women's Flyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : NGANNOU VS VELASQUEZ. Ashlee Evans-Smith enters with a 6-6-0 record and Andrea Lee enters with a 13-11-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.