NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA

Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui

EventNOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA
DateSep 12, 2026
DivisionMiddleweight
StatusScheduled
VenueDesert Diamond Arena
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Combat Edge ModelElo alone: 56% / 44%
Kelvin Gastelum 40%60% Yousri Belgaroui

Win probability from the Combat Edge prediction model (v0.5-2026-07-01), computed before the fight from Elo, records, and matchup data. Analytics, not betting advice.

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Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 12, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 5:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 2:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 7:00 AM

Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui is a scheduled Middleweight fight on NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA. Kelvin Gastelum enters with a 20-11-0 record and Yousri Belgaroui enters with a 10-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui quick answers

When is Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui?

Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui is listed for NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA on Sep 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST.

What event is Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui on?

Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui is listed on NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA.

What are the records for Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui?

Kelvin Gastelum enters with a 20-11-0 record and Yousri Belgaroui enters with a 10-3-0 record.

What division is Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui?

Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui is listed as a Middleweight fight.

Kelvin Gastelum20-11-0Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri BelgarouiYousri BelgarouiBaby Face Assassin |10-3-0
usKelvin Gastelum20-11-0Kelvin Gastelumus

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
20-11-0Record10-3-0
34Age34
5'9"Height6'5"
71"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight
tnYousri BelgarouiBaby Face Assassin10-3-0tnYousri Belgaroui
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kelvin Gastelum owns a 45-point Elo edge (good). Yousri Belgaroui shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Full Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui comparison →

Recent form

Kelvin GastelumL W L W L · -16 Elo last 5
LWLWL
Yousri BelgarouiW W W W W · +109 Elo last 5
WWWWW

Elo edge

Kelvin Gastelum1693-14 last move
Yousri Belgaroui1648+25 last move

Stat advantages

Kelvin GastelumvsYousri Belgaroui
Takedown accuracy
13%vs100%
Takedown average
1.04vs0.29
Sig. strikes landed per min
3.65vs6.10
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
3.52vs2.17

Finishing profile

Kelvin Gastelumdecision leads 45% of wins
Yousri BelgarouiKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kelvin GastelumYousri Belgaroui
3.65Sig. strikes landed per min6.10
UFC middleweight average : 3.83
42Sig. strike accuracy64
UFC middleweight average : 48%
3.52Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.17
UFC middleweight average : 3.82
57Sig. strike defense64
UFC middleweight average : 52%
1.04Takedown average0.29
UFC middleweight average : 1.72
13Takedown accuracy100
UFC middleweight average : 36%
60Takedown defense67
UFC middleweight average : 59%
0.09Submission average0
UFC middleweight average : 0.63
6Wins by knockout8
5Wins by submission0
9Wins by decision2
0Losses by knockout0
4Losses by submission0
7Losses by decision3

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