Laïd Zerhouni vs Andrzej Grzebyk

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePodpromie Hall

BroadcastKSW TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on KSW TV.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Laïd Zerhouni15-10-0Laïd Zerhouni vs Andrzej GrzebykAndrzej GrzebykDouble Champ |22-9-0

Laïd Zerhouni15-10-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

15-10-0Record22-9-0

31Age35

5'8"Height6'0"

74"Reach76"

185 lbsWeight170 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Andrzej GrzebykDouble Champ22-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Andrzej Grzebyk owns a 39-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Laïd Zerhouni and Andrzej Grzebyk across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Laïd ZerhouniAndrzej Grzebyk

Recent form

Laïd ZerhouniL W W L W · +9 Elo last 5

LWWLW

Andrzej GrzebykL L L W W · -24 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Laïd Zerhouni1588-20 last move

Andrzej Grzebyk1627-15 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

51%Laïd Zerhouni49%Andrzej Grzebyk

Model favoriteLaïd Zerhouni

Elo baseline44% for Laïd Zerhouni

Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Laïd ZerhouniStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Laïd Zerhouni is 51%, after Elo alone favored Andrzej Grzebyk at 56%.

Current Elo ratings1588 · 1627Andrzej Grzebyk leads by 39 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1551 · 1585Andrzej Grzebyk faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth24 · 26 fightsAndrzej Grzebyk has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Laïd ZerhounivsAndrzej Grzebyk

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Laïd Zerhounisubmission leads 53% of wins

Andrzej GrzebykKO/TKO leads 59% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Laïd ZerhouniAndrzej Grzebyk

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.69

6Wins by knockout13

8Wins by submission3

1Wins by decision6

1Losses by knockout4

7Losses by submission2

2Losses by decision3

Laïd Zerhouni vs Andrzej Grzebyk is a scheduled Middleweight fight on KSW 122 RZESZOW : YAKYMENKO VS MORELLI. Laïd Zerhouni enters with a 15-10-0 record and Andrzej Grzebyk enters with a 22-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.