Melissa Hurtado vs Weronika Cisło

Oct 31, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast58%Melissa Hurtado42%Weronika CisłoFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionStrawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith de Strasbourg

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 2:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Melissa Hurtado3-0-0Melissa Hurtado vs Weronika CisłoWeronika Cisło1-1-0

Melissa Hurtado3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record1-1-0

TBDAge26

5'2"Height5'6"

TBDReach-

116 lbsWeight125 lbs

StrawweightWeight ClassStrawweight

Weronika Cisło1-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Melissa Hurtado owns a 82-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Melissa Hurtado and Weronika Cisło across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Melissa HurtadoWeronika Cisło

Recent form

Melissa HurtadoW W W · +84 Elo last 3

WWW

Weronika CisłoW L · +2 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Melissa Hurtado1584+20 last move

Weronika Cisło1502+31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Melissa HurtadoNot on the active ladder · 1584 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Fabiola Pidroni (rated 1609 at the time): +35.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +84 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1563, not 1584: 21 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Activity: Not on the active ladder: no rated fight in the last 24 months.

Weronika Cisło#77 of 83 active Women Flyweight fighters · 1502 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Isabel Calvo (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Millie Eriksson (rated 1500 at the time): -29.
Last 2 fights: 1 win, 1 loss, +2 Elo in total.
Next places: 21 points behind #76 Ilara Joanne, 4 ahead of #78 Jade Masson-Wong.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

58%Melissa Hurtado42%Weronika Cisło

Model favoriteMelissa Hurtado

Elo baseline62% for Melissa Hurtado

Matchup adjustment-4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Melissa HurtadoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Melissa Hurtado leads the full model at 58%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1584 · 1502Melissa Hurtado leads by 82 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1536 · 1500Melissa Hurtado faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 2 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 2 fightsMelissa Hurtado has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Melissa HurtadoNow 1584

Wins by decision+18→ 1602

Loses by decision-30→ 1554

Weronika CisłoNow 1502 · #77 Women Flyweight

Wins by decision+30→ 1532

Loses by decision-18→ 1484

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Melissa HurtadovsWeronika Cisło

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Melissa HurtadoKO/TKO leads 33% of wins

Weronika Cisłosubmission leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Melissa HurtadoWeronika Cisło

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.14

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.09

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.38

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

1Wins by knockout0

1Wins by submission1

1Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Melissa Hurtado vs Weronika Cisło is a scheduled Strawweight fight on ARES FC 44 : YOUNOUSOV VS NAM. Melissa Hurtado enters with a 3-0-0 record and Weronika Cisło enters with a 1-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.