Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov

Jun 28, 2025 · PPV

DateJun 28, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPPV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 28, 2025 — watch on PPV.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Paulo CostaBorrachinha |16-4-0Paulo Costa vs Roman KopylovRoman Kopylov16-5-0

Paulo CostaBorrachinha16-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-4-0Record16-5-0

35Age35

6'0"Height6'0"

72"Reach75"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Roman Kopylov16-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Paulo Costa owns a 36-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Paulo Costa and Roman Kopylov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paulo CostaRoman Kopylov

Recent form

Paulo CostaW W L L W · +30 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Roman KopylovW W L L W · +28 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Elo edge

Paulo Costa1754+23 last move

Roman Kopylov1718+20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Paulo Costa#9 of 162 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1754 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Johny Hendricks (rated 1722 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Marvin Vettori (rated 1714 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +30 Elo in total.
Next places: 7 points behind #8 Navajo Stirling, 1 ahead of #10 Robert Whittaker.

Roman Kopylov#41 of 254 active Middleweight fighters · 1718 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Chris Curtis (rated 1740 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anthony Hernandez (rated 1672 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +28 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #40 Nursulton Ruziboev, 1 ahead of #42 Kyle Daukaus.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Paulo CostaNow 1754 · #9 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1768

Loses by decision-18→ 1736

Roman KopylovNow 1718 · #41 Middleweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1736

Loses by decision-14→ 1704

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Paulo CostavsRoman Kopylov

Takedown accuracy

50%vs0%

Takedown average

0.32vs1.12

Sig. strikes landed per min

6.26vs4.54

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

6.20vs5.08

Finishing profile

Paulo CostaKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Roman KopylovKO/TKO leads 81% of wins

Common opponents

Brunno Ferreira Paulo Costa: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 7, 2026Roman Kopylov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Aug 24, 2024

Tale of the tape

Paulo CostaRoman Kopylov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.26Sig. strikes landed per min4.54

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

59Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC middleweight average : 48%

6.20Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.08

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

49Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.32Takedown average1.12

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

50Takedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 30%

80Takedown defense89

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0Submission average0

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

12Wins by knockout13

1Wins by submission0

3Wins by decision3

1Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

3Losses by decision3

Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 317 : TOPURIA VS OLIVEIRA. Paulo Costa enters with a 16-4-0 record and Roman Kopylov enters with a 16-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.