Sarah Moussaddak vs Diná da Silva

Nov 20, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast48%Sarah Moussaddak52%Diná da SilvaFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 20, 2026

DivisionStrawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAdidas Arena

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, November 20, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 5:00 AM
Your time

Sarah MoussaddakLa Lionne de L'Atlas |1-0-0Sarah Moussaddak vs Diná da SilvaDiná da Silva3-2-0

Sarah MoussaddakLa Lionne de L'Atlas1-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

1-0-0Record3-2-0

26Age31

5'5"Height5'4"

TBDReachTBD

126 lbsWeight115 lbs

StrawweightWeight ClassStrawweight

Diná da Silva3-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Sarah Moussaddak owns a 10-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sarah Moussaddak and Diná da Silva across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Sarah MoussaddakDiná da Silva

Recent form

Sarah MoussaddakW · +29 Elo last 1

Diná da SilvaL L W W W · +19 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Sarah Moussaddak1529+29 last move

Diná da Silva1519-29 last move

Why they are ranked here

Sarah Moussaddak#194 of 232 active Flyweight fighters · 1529 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Maria Hingu (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Next places: 0 points behind #193 Sanzhar Mansurov, 2 ahead of #195 Billy Sutherland.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Sample: Only 1 rated fight, so each result still moves this rating more than a veteran's.

Diná da SilvaNot on the active ladder · 1519 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Camila Daniele (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jainne Aguiar (rated 1477 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +19 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1430, not 1519: 89 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

48%Sarah Moussaddak52%Diná da Silva

Model favoriteDiná da Silva

Elo baseline49% for Diná da Silva

Matchup adjustment+3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Diná da SilvaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Diná da Silva is 52%, after Elo alone favored Sarah Moussaddak at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1529 · 1519Sarah Moussaddak leads by 10 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1500 · 1503Diná da Silva faced the stronger recent schedule (1 vs 5 sampled fights).

Elo record depth1 · 5 fightsDiná da Silva has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Sarah MoussaddakNow 1529 · #194 Flyweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1552

Loses by decision-25→ 1504

Diná da SilvaNow 1519

Wins by decision+25→ 1544

Loses by decision-23→ 1496

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Sarah MoussaddakvsDiná da Silva

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sarah MoussaddakKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Diná da Silvasubmission leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sarah MoussaddakDiná da Silva

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.46

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 25%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.63

1Wins by knockout1

0Wins by submission2

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Sarah Moussaddak vs Diná da Silva is a scheduled Strawweight fight on ARES FC 45 : ZÉBO VS BAKI 2. Sarah Moussaddak enters with a 1-0-0 record and Diná da Silva enters with a 3-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.