Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos

Oct 24, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast54%Bolaji Oki46%Daniel SantosFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueEtihad Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Bolaji OkiThe Zulu Warrior |10-4-0Bolaji Oki vs Daniel SantosDaniel SantosWillycat |14-3-0

Bolaji OkiThe Zulu Warrior10-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-4-0Record14-3-0

30Age31

5'10"Height5'7"

73"Reach67"

155 lbsWeight135 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Daniel SantosWillycat14-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Daniel Santos owns a 7-point Elo edge (solid). Bolaji Oki shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Bolaji Oki and Daniel Santos across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Bolaji OkiDaniel Santos

Recent form

Bolaji OkiL L W L W · -14 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Daniel SantosL W W W W · +71 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Bolaji Oki1642-15 last move

Daniel Santos1649-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Bolaji Oki#183 of 434 active Lightweight fighters · 1642 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Dylan Salvador (rated 1590 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Chris Duncan (rated 1670 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -14 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #182 Nikolas Motta, 0 ahead of #184 Nicolas Sávio.

Daniel Santos#155 of 402 active Featherweight fighters · 1649 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat John Castañeda (rated 1715 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jefferson Nascimento (rated 1529 at the time): -37.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +71 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #154 Andre Fili, 1 ahead of #156 Dagiisuren Chagnaadorj.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

54%Bolaji Oki46%Daniel Santos

Model favoriteBolaji Oki

Elo baseline49% for Bolaji Oki

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Bolaji OkiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Bolaji Oki is 54%, after Elo alone favored Daniel Santos at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1642 · 1649Daniel Santos leads by 7 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1602 · 1634Daniel Santos faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth14 · 15 fightsDaniel Santos has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesBolaji Oki 3 · 1 Daniel SantosStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Bolaji Oki.

What's at stake

Bolaji OkiNow 1642 · #183 Lightweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1658

Loses by decision-16→ 1626

Daniel SantosNow 1649 · #155 Featherweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1665

Loses by decision-16→ 1633

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Bolaji OkivsDaniel Santos

Takedown accuracy

14%vs0%

Takedown average

1.02vs2.60

Sig. strikes landed per min

6.42vs5.15

Sig. strike defense

61%vs50%

Finishing profile

Bolaji OkiKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Daniel SantosKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Bolaji OkiDaniel Santos

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.42Sig. strikes landed per min5.15

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

45Sig. strike accuracy40

UFC lightweight average : 46%

5.12Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.38

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

61Sig. strike defense50

UFC lightweight average : 53%

1.02Takedown average2.60

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

14Takedown accuracy0

UFC lightweight average : 28%

75Takedown defense73

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0Submission average0

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

5Wins by knockout7

1Wins by submission2

4Wins by decision5

2Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision2

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV. Bolaji Oki enters with a 10-4-0 record and Daniel Santos enters with a 14-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.